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URA v KCCA
Premier League · FRI 9 OCT · Hamz Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said URA win at 35%.
- 24′Little has changed for our model: URA 35% before kick-off, 32% now. 0–0 · 32–36–32
- 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was URA win 30%)
- 45′HALF-TIME URA 0–0 KCCA
- 46′SECOND HALF URA 0–0 KCCA
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' URA 0–1 KCCA
- 83′PENALTY MISSED · 83' KCCA
- FTURA 0–1 KCCA · URA win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 18:00
Venue · Hamz Stadium
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make URA a 35% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.1–1.1.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 34% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| URA win | 35% | 34% | +2 |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | −1 |
| KCCA win | 35% | 36% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 46% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 63% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 20% | −3 |
| URA or draw | 65% | 64% | +1 |
| URA clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
| KCCA clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2022Form · last six in Premier League
URA
KCCA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | +7 | 11 |
| 3 | SC Villa | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 5 | −2 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 7 | Vipers | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 | Maroons | 5 | +2 | 6 |
| 9 | Lugazi | 5 | −5 | 6 |
| 10 | Kitara | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 11 | UPDF | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Express | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 13 | KCCA | 4 | −3 | 4 |
| 14 | URA | 3 | −3 | 3 |
| 15 | Ntugasaze | 5 | −8 | 3 |
| 16 | Mbarara City | 4 | −2 | 2 |
| 17 | Kataka | 4 | −4 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | −5 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.