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Mbarara City v Blacks Power

Mbarara City
2–1Full time
Blacks Power

Premier League · SUN 11 OCT · Rwamwanja stadium

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56
Mbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power MBARARA CITY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mbarara City win42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.506

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Mbarara City win at 42%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Mbarara City v Blacks Power
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Mbarara City was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–31–27
  4. 4′Much as we predicted: Mbarara City was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–31–27
  5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Mbarara City 1–0 Blacks Power
  6. 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Mbarara City 2–0 Blacks Power
  7. 42′A goal for Mbarara City on 40′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  8. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Mbarara City win: 42% at kick-off, 95% now
  9. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Mbarara City win: 42% at kick-off, 37% now
  10. 43′A goal for Mbarara City on 40′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
  11. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Mbarara City win: 42% at kick-off, 95% now
  12. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Mbarara City win: 42% at kick-off, 37% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Mbarara City 2–0 Blacks Power
  14. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Mbarara City win: 42% at kick-off, 96% now
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Mbarara City 2–0 Blacks Power
  16. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Mbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power
  17. 52′⚽ GOAL · 28' Mbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power · R. Mugisha
  18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 40' Mbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power · E. Tumwine
  19. 52′⚽ GOAL · 50' Mbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power
  20. 71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Mbarara City 2–2 Blacks Power
  21. FTFULL TIME Mbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power
  22. FTMbarara City 2–1 Blacks Power · Mbarara City win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Mbarara City win42%
Draw31%
Blacks Power win27%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

VenueRwamwanja stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Mbarara City

Blacks Power

4Days since last match3
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Blacks Power5−29
16Mbarara City4−22

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mbarara city winPublished 11 Oct 14:09
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Mbarara City a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mbarara City win42%––
Draw31%––
Blacks Power win27%––
Over 2.5 goals32%––
Both teams to score39%––
Over 1.5 goals59%––
Over 3.5 goals15%––
Mbarara City or draw73%––
Mbarara City clean sheet43%––
Blacks Power clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.2%
0123450 14.1 11.4 5.0 1 15.2 13.0 5.5 2 8.8 7.3 3.1 3 3.4 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Mbarara City down, Blacks Power across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Premier League

MBARARA CITY

WLLDDL2–0 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–1

BLACKS POWER

WWWWLL3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1BUL4+812
2NEC5+711
3SC Villa5+611
4Entebbe UPPC5+410
5Blacks Power5−29
6Kitara4+28
7Police5−17
8KCCA5−27
9Vipers3+66
10Maroons5+26
11Lugazi5−56
12UPDF405
13Express5−15
14URA4−43
15Ntugasaze5−83
16Mbarara City4−22
17Kataka5−52
18Kigezi HomeBoyz4−51

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.