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Kigezi HomeBoyz v NEC
Kigezi HomeBoyzNECPremier League · WED 14 OCT · Rwamwanja stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said NEC win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: NEC 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 27–31–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Kigezi HomeBoyz v NEC
- 14′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Kigezi HomeBoyz
- 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was NEC win 35%)
- 35′NEC find the net on 35′. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Kigezi HomeBoyz 0–1 NEC
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' NEC win: 42% at kick-off, 77% now
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' NEC win is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Draw 18%)
- 36′We said NEC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 37′The goal count is tracking the 1.9 we expected. 0–1 · 5–18–77
- 45′HALF-TIME Kigezi HomeBoyz 0–1 NEC
- 46′SECOND HALF Kigezi HomeBoyz 0–1 NEC
- 50′We said NEC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
- 55′NEC ahead on 40′ through A. Mugalu. 0–1. 0–1 · 3–16–81
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' NEC win: 42% at kick-off, 82% now
- 65′We said NEC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 68′A goal for NEC on 67′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 68′We said NEC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 68′⚽ GOAL · 67' Kigezi HomeBoyz 0–2 NEC
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' NEC win: 42% at kick-off, 99% now
- 78′We said NEC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 100%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Kigezi HomeBoyz 0–2 NEC
- FTKigezi HomeBoyz 0–2 NEC · NEC win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 13:28 · locked at kick-off
Kigezi HomeBoyz win27%NEC win42%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 14:00
VenueRwamwanja stadium
Match timeline
All events
Kigezi HomeBoyzMINNECEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Kigezi HomeBoyz
NEC
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make NEC a 42% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kigezi HomeBoyz win | 27% | – | – |
| Draw | 31% | – | – |
| NEC win | 42% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 31% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 37% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | – | – |
| Kigezi HomeBoyz or draw | 58% | – | – |
| Kigezi HomeBoyz clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| NEC clean sheet | 45% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Premier League since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Premier League
KIGEZI HOMEBOYZ
NEC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BUL | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | NEC | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 3 |  SC Villa | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Entebbe UPPC | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 |  KCCA | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  Blacks Power | 6 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Kitara | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Vipers | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 |  Maroons | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Police | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Lugazi | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 |  UPDF | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |  Express | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |  Mbarara City | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 |  URA | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 |  Ntugasaze | 6 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 |  Kataka | 5 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 4 | -5 | 1 |
The competition's standings.