Entebbe UPPC v Maroons prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Entebbe UPPCDrawMaroons

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Entebbe UPPC 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Entebbe UPPC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Entebbe UPPC 46%, draw 33%, Maroons 21%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Entebbe UPPC v MaroonsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Entebbe UPPC win46%

Draw33%

Maroons win21%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueGaddafi Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Entebbe UPPC

Maroons

6Days since last match8

Last match: 22 Oct · Premier League (Uganda)

Last match: 20 Oct · Premier League (Uganda)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	+5	14
7	Maroons	7	+5	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · entebbe uppc winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Entebbe UPPC a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Entebbe UPPC v Maroons~~1.12 – 0.65

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 1 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 10~~4 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Entebbe UPPC win	46%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Maroons win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Entebbe UPPC or draw	79%	–	–
Entebbe UPPC clean sheet	53%	–	–
Maroons clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.7%

0123450 17.8 10.7 3.6 1 18.7 12.5 3.9 2 10.6 6.8 2.2 3 4.1 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Entebbe UPPC down, Maroons across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,209 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.6% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Entebbe UPPC at home: 2.17 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Maroons away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Entebbe UPPC, 0.65 for Maroons. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MAR 0–0 ENT · ENT 0–0 MAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 1 Sept

ENTEBBE UPPC

WLDWDW2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

MAROONS

WLLWDW3–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	BUL	7	+11	19
2	SC Villa	7	+13	17
3	NEC	7	+8	14
4	Entebbe UPPC	7	+5	14
5	Blacks Power	7	−2	12
6	Vipers	6	+11	11
7	Maroons	7	+5	10
8	KCCA	6	0	10
9	Kitara	4	+2	8
10	UPDF	6	−1	8
11	Lugazi	7	−5	8
12	Police	7	−6	8
13	Express	7	−2	6
14	Mbarara City	6	−3	5
15	URA	6	−5	4
16	Ntugasaze	6	−10	3
17	Kataka	7	−13	2
18	Kigezi HomeBoyz	6	−8	1