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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Sarıyer v Ayvalikgucu

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Sarıyer v Ayvalikgucu

Sarıyer
12:00Upcoming
Ayvalikgucu

Türkiye Kupası · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SarıyerDrawAyvalikgucu
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Sarıyer 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sarıyer are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sarıyer 46%, draw 29%, Ayvalikgucu 25%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Sarıyer v AyvalikgucuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Sarıyer win46%
Draw29%
Ayvalikgucu win25%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 12:00

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sarıyer

Ayvalikgucu

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sarıyer winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Sarıyer a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Sarıyer v Ayvalikgucu1.35 – 0.92

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sarıyer win46%––
Draw29%––
Ayvalikgucu win25%––
Over 2.5 goals39%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals67%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Sarıyer or draw75%––
Sarıyer clean sheet40%––
Ayvalikgucu clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.6%
0123450 10.8 9.1 4.4 1 13.6 13.3 5.9 2 9.4 8.6 4.0 3 4.2 3.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Sarıyer down, Ayvalikgucu across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

SARIYER

No matches in our record yet.

AYVALIKGUCU

D1–1