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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

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Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Kocaelispor
15:00Upcoming
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Türkiye Kupası · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KocaelisporDrawMazıdağı Fosfatspor
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Kocaelispor 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kocaelispor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kocaelispor 54%, draw 31%, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 15%. Over 2.5 goals 25%, both teams to score 29%.

The AI’s read on Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı FosfatsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kocaelispor win54%
Draw31%
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win15%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 15:00

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kocaelispor

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

4Days since last match3

Last match: 23 Oct · Süper Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kocaelispor winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 24 Oct 00:26 · locked at kick-off
54% The market–
Us54%

We make Kocaelispor a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 21%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kocaelispor v Mazıdağı Fosfatspor1.23 – 0.51

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55% 21 OCT 00:0124 OCT 23:51
Our probability · Kocaelispor win

Published at 53%, 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kocaelispor win54%––
Draw31%––
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win15%––
Over 2.5 goals25%––
Both teams to score29%––
Over 1.5 goals52%––
Over 3.5 goals10%––
Kocaelispor or draw85%––
Kocaelispor clean sheet60%––
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 21.2%
0123450 17.9 8.6 2.3 1 21.2 11.4 2.8 2 13.3 6.8 3 5.5 2.8 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kocaelispor down, Mazıdağı Fosfatspor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

KOCAELISPOR

No matches in our record yet.

MAZIDAĞI FOSFATSPOR

W1–0