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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947

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Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947

Kasımpaşa
15:00Upcoming
Çorluspor 1947

Türkiye Kupası · THU 29 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KasımpaşaDrawÇorluspor 1947
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Kasımpaşa 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kasımpaşa are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kasımpaşa 55%, draw 24%, Çorluspor 1947 22%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 1947Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kasımpaşa win55%
Draw24%
Çorluspor 1947 win22%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 15:00

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kasımpaşa

Çorluspor 1947

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · Süper Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kasımpaşa winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
55% The market–
Us55%

We make Kasımpaşa a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kasımpaşa v Çorluspor 19471.84 – 1.08

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kasımpaşa win55%––
Draw24%––
Çorluspor 1947 win22%––
Over 2.5 goals56%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Kasımpaşa or draw78%––
Kasımpaşa clean sheet34%––
Çorluspor 1947 clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 5.8 5.5 3.2 1 9.6 11.1 5.8 2.1 2 9.1 9.9 5.3 3 5.6 6.0 3.3 4 2.6 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kasımpaşa down, Çorluspor 1947 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season

KASIMPAŞA

No matches in our record yet.

ÇORLUSPOR 1947

No matches in our record yet.