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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Karabük İdman Yurdu v İskenderunspor

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Karabük İdman Yurdu v İskenderunspor

Karabük İdman Yurdu
12:00Upcoming
İskenderunspor

Türkiye Kupası · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Karabük İdman YurduDrawİskenderunspor
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · İskenderunspor 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

İskenderunspor are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Karabük İdman Yurdu 32%, draw 27%, İskenderunspor 42%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Karabük İdman Yurdu v İskenderunsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Karabük İdman Yurdu win32%
Draw27%
İskenderunspor win42%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:00

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Karabük İdman Yurdu

İskenderunspor

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 1

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · i̇skenderunspor winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make İskenderunspor a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Karabük İdman Yurdu v İskenderunspor1.22 – 1.44

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 01:06
Our probability · İskenderunspor win

Published at 43%, 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Karabük İdman Yurdu win32%––
Draw27%––
İskenderunspor win42%––
Over 2.5 goals50%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Karabük İdman Yurdu or draw58%––
Karabük İdman Yurdu clean sheet24%––
İskenderunspor clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 7.4 9.7 7.2 3.5 1 8.1 12.7 8.8 4.2 2 5.2 7.5 5.4 2.6 3 2.1 3.1 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Karabük İdman Yurdu down, İskenderunspor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

KARABÜK İDMAN YURDU

W1–0

İSKENDERUNSPOR

No matches in our record yet.