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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › İnegölspor v Sebat Gençlikspor

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İnegölspor v Sebat Gençlikspor

İnegölspor
10:30Upcoming
Sebat Gençlikspor

Türkiye Kupası · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

İnegölsporDrawSebat Gençlikspor
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Sebat Gençlikspor 38%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Sebat Gençlikspor just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: İnegölspor 37%, draw 25%, Sebat Gençlikspor 38%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on İnegölspor v Sebat GençliksporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

İnegölspor win37%
Draw25%
Sebat Gençlikspor win38%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:30

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

İnegölspor

Sebat Gençlikspor

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sebat gençlikspor winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
38% The market–
Us38%

We make Sebat Gençlikspor a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · İnegölspor v Sebat Gençlikspor1.47 – 1.49

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
İnegölspor win37%––
Draw25%––
Sebat Gençlikspor win38%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
İnegölspor or draw62%––
İnegölspor clean sheet23%––
Sebat Gençlikspor clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%
0123450 5.6 7.4 5.8 2.9 1 7.3 11.8 8.5 4.2 2 5.6 8.3 6.2 3.1 3 2.7 4.1 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+İnegölspor down, Sebat Gençlikspor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season

İNEGÖLSPOR

No matches in our record yet.

SEBAT GENÇLIKSPOR

No matches in our record yet.