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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Güzide Gebzespor v Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

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Güzide Gebzespor v Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Güzide Gebzespor
10:30Upcoming
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Türkiye Kupası · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Güzide GebzesporDrawYeşilyurt Belediyespor
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Güzide Gebzespor 33%, draw 26%, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 41%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Güzide Gebzespor v Yeşilyurt BelediyesporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Güzide Gebzespor win33%
Draw26%
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win41%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:30

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Güzide Gebzespor

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yeşilyurt belediyespor winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
41% The market–
Us41%

We make Yeşilyurt Belediyespor a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Güzide Gebzespor v Yeşilyurt Belediyespor1.27 – 1.45

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 00:56
Our probability · Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win

Published at 40%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Güzide Gebzespor win33%––
Draw26%––
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win41%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals76%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
Güzide Gebzespor or draw59%––
Güzide Gebzespor clean sheet23%––
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 6.9 9.1 6.9 3.3 1 7.9 12.5 8.8 4.3 2 5.3 7.7 5.6 2.7 3 2.3 3.3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Güzide Gebzespor down, Yeşilyurt Belediyespor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

GÜZIDE GEBZESPOR

No matches in our record yet.

YEŞILYURT BELEDIYESPOR

W3–1