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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Fatih Karagümrük v Somaspor

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Fatih Karagümrük v Somaspor

Fatih Karagümrük
12:00Upcoming
Somaspor

Türkiye Kupası · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Fatih KaragümrükDrawSomaspor
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Fatih Karagümrük 74%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Fatih Karagümrük are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Fatih Karagümrük 74%, draw 17%, Somaspor 9%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Fatih Karagümrük v SomasporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Fatih Karagümrük win74%
Draw17%
Somaspor win9%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 12:00

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Fatih Karagümrük

Somaspor

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fatih karagümrük winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
74% The market–
Us74%

We make Fatih Karagümrük a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Fatih Karagümrük v Somaspor2.41 – 0.74

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Fatih Karagümrük win74%––
Draw17%––
Somaspor win9%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals82%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Fatih Karagümrük or draw91%––
Fatih Karagümrük clean sheet48%––
Somaspor clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.5%
0123450 4.6 2.9 1 10.1 7.9 2.8 2 12.5 9.2 3.4 3 10.0 7.4 2.7 4 6.0 4.4 5 2.9 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Fatih Karagümrük down, Somaspor across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

FATIH KARAGÜMRÜK

No matches in our record yet.

SOMASPOR

W4–2