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Model 1.2

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Etimesgut SK v Gaziantep FK

Etimesgut SK
10:30Upcoming
Gaziantep FK

Türkiye Kupası · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Etimesgut SKDrawGaziantep FK
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Gaziantep FK 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gaziantep FK are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Etimesgut SK 26%, draw 29%, Gaziantep FK 45%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Etimesgut SK v Gaziantep FKBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Etimesgut SK win26%
Draw29%
Gaziantep FK win45%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 10:30

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Etimesgut SK

Gaziantep FK

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Süper Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gaziantep fk winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Gaziantep FK a 45% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Etimesgut SK v Gaziantep FK0.91 – 1.28

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 21 OCT 00:0125 OCT 03:22
Our probability · Gaziantep FK win

Published at 47%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Etimesgut SK win26%––
Draw29%––
Gaziantep FK win45%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Etimesgut SK or draw55%––
Etimesgut SK clean sheet28%––
Gaziantep FK clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.9%
0123450 11.6 13.9 9.2 3.9 1 9.7 13.5 8.4 3.6 2 4.6 5.9 3.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Etimesgut SK down, Gaziantep FK across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsGAZ 1–1 ETI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

ETIMESGUT SK

W5–1

GAZIANTEP FK

No matches in our record yet.