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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Eskişehirspor v Iğdır FK

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Eskişehirspor v Iğdır FK

Eskişehirspor
17:30Upcoming
Iğdır FK

Türkiye Kupası · THU 29 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

EskişehirsporDrawIğdır FK
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Eskişehirspor 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eskişehirspor are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Eskişehirspor 43%, draw 27%, Iğdır FK 30%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Eskişehirspor v Iğdır FKBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Eskişehirspor win43%
Draw27%
Iğdır FK win30%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 17:30

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Eskişehirspor

Iğdır FK

5Days since last match5

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

Last match: 24 Oct · 1. Lig

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eskişehirspor winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Eskişehirspor a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Eskişehirspor v Iğdır FK1.46 – 1.18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Eskişehirspor win43%––
Draw27%––
Iğdır FK win30%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals27%––
Eskişehirspor or draw70%––
Eskişehirspor clean sheet31%––
Iğdır FK clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 7.5 8.0 4.9 1 10.0 12.7 7.2 2.8 2 7.6 9.0 5.3 2.1 3 3.7 4.4 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Eskişehirspor down, Iğdır FK across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsESK 0–2 IGD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

ESKIŞEHIRSPOR

W4–1

IĞDIR FK

No matches in our record yet.