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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Elazığspor v Talasgücü Belediyespor

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Elazığspor v Talasgücü Belediyespor

Elazığspor
12:00Upcoming
Talasgücü Belediyespor

Türkiye Kupası · TUE 27 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ElazığsporDrawTalasgücü Belediyespor
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Elazığspor 71%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Elazığspor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Elazığspor 71%, draw 18%, Talasgücü Belediyespor 11%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Elazığspor v Talasgücü BelediyesporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Elazığspor win71%
Draw18%
Talasgücü Belediyespor win11%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 12:00

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Elazığspor

Talasgücü Belediyespor

3Days since last match9

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · elazığspor winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
71% The market–
Us71%

We make Elazığspor a 71% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Elazığspor v Talasgücü Belediyespor2.34 – 0.82

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Elazığspor win71%––
Draw18%––
Talasgücü Belediyespor win11%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Elazığspor or draw89%––
Elazığspor clean sheet44%––
Talasgücü Belediyespor clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.6%
0123450 4.5 3.2 1 9.6 8.4 3.4 2 11.6 9.5 3.9 3 9.0 7.4 3.1 4 5.3 4.4 5 2.5 2.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Elazığspor down, Talasgücü Belediyespor across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 8 Oct

ELAZIĞSPOR

No matches in our record yet.

TALASGÜCÜ BELEDIYESPOR

W2–0