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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Türkiye Kupası › Ankara Demirspor v Nilüfer Belediye

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Ankara Demirspor v Nilüfer Belediye

Ankara Demirspor
10:30Upcoming
Nilüfer Belediye

Türkiye Kupası · WED 28 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Ankara DemirsporDrawNilüfer Belediye
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:30
Before kick-off · Match result · Ankara Demirspor 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ankara Demirspor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ankara Demirspor 50%, draw 26%, Nilüfer Belediye 24%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Ankara Demirspor v Nilüfer BelediyeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Ankara Demirspor win50%
Draw26%
Nilüfer Belediye win24%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:30

Round3rd round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ankara Demirspor

Nilüfer Belediye

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Lig

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ankara demirspor winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Ankara Demirspor a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ankara Demirspor v Nilüfer Belediye1.58 – 1.03

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 22 OCT 00:0125 OCT 05:20
Our probability · Ankara Demirspor win

Published at 47%, 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ankara Demirspor win50%––
Draw26%––
Nilüfer Belediye win24%––
Over 2.5 goals48%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Ankara Demirspor or draw76%––
Ankara Demirspor clean sheet36%––
Nilüfer Belediye clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 7.8 7.2 3.9 1 11.3 12.4 6.1 2.1 2 9.2 9.4 4.8 3 4.8 5.0 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ankara Demirspor down, Nilüfer Belediye across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Türkiye Kupası this season · since 7 Oct

ANKARA DEMIRSPOR

No matches in our record yet.

NILÜFER BELEDIYE

W2–0