Konyaspor v Galatasaray prediction · Süper Lig

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KonyasporDrawGalatasaray

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Galatasaray 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Galatasaray are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Konyaspor 20%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 55%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Konyaspor v GalatasarayBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Konyaspor win20%

Draw25%

Galatasaray win55%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueKonya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Konyaspor

Galatasaray

13Days since last match9

Last match: 17 Oct · Süper Lig

Last match: 21 Oct · UEFA Champions League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · galatasaray winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Galatasaray a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Konyaspor v Galatasaray~~0.99 – 1.80

~~Form · last six in Süper Lig this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 19~~16 v 1

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Konyaspor win	20%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Galatasaray win	55%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Konyaspor or draw	45%	–	–
Konyaspor clean sheet	17%	–	–
Galatasaray clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 7.3 10.3 9.9 6.0 2.8 1 5.3 11.6 9.5 5.7 2.6 2 3.1 5.3 4.7 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Konyaspor down, Galatasaray across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,825 Süper Lig matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Süper Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games this season, across 76 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Konyaspor at home: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Galatasaray away: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.99 goals for Konyaspor, 1.80 for Galatasaray. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~KON 2–0 GAL · GAL 3–1 KON · KON 1–5 GAL · GAL 0–0 KON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Süper Lig this season · since 29 Aug

KONYASPOR

LLWDDL1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–1

GALATASARAY

WWWLWW3–2 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 3–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Galatasaray	8	+6	19
2	Amed	8	+9	17
3	Fenerbahçe	8	+16	16
4	Trabzonspor	8	+13	16
5	Kasımpaşa	9	+4	16
6	Beşiktaş	8	+6	15
7	Kocaelispor	9	+2	15
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	−4	14
9	Çorum FK	8	+5	13
10	Alanyaspor	9	−2	12
11	Başakşehir	8	0	11
12	Rizespor	8	−3	10
13	Göztepe	8	+1	9
14	Gaziantep FK	9	−6	8
15	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	8	−9	8
16	Konyaspor	8	−5	5
17	Samsunspor	8	−12	4
18	Eyüpspor	9	−21	3