Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kasımpaşa win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kasımpaşa was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–28–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor
4. 27′Kasımpaşa ahead on 26′ through C. Winck. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–19–9
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Kasımpaşa 1–0 Samsunspor · C. Winck
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
7. 28′We published Kasımpaşa at 43%. Our model now makes it 72%. 1–0 · 72–19–9
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 72–19–9
9. 31′A goal for Kasımpaşa on 31′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 91–7–2
10. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Kasımpaşa 2–0 Samsunspor
11. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 91% now
12. 32′We published Kasımpaşa at 43%. Our model now makes it 91%. 2–0 · 91–7–2
13. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
14. 45′45′: T. Coulibaly on the scoresheet for Samsunspor, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 74–19–7
15. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Kasımpaşa 2–1 Samsunspor · T. Coulibaly
16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 74% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Kasımpaşa 2–1 Samsunspor
18. 46′We published Kasımpaşa at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 2–1 · 75–19–7
19. 46′SECOND HALF Kasımpaşa 2–1 Samsunspor
20. 47′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 75–19–6
21. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Samsunspor · On: A. Sousa · Off: E. Kilinc
22. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Samsunspor
23. 58′Samsunspor level it on 58′ through T. Coulibaly. 2–2. 2–2 · 30–48–22
24. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Kasımpaşa 2–2 Samsunspor · T. Coulibaly
25. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 30% now
26. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Kasımpaşa win 30%)
27. 59′We said Kasımpaşa at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–49–22
28. 59′Kasımpaşa have had 18 attempts to 3 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 29–49–22
29. 59′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–49–22
30. 61′GOAL DISALLOWED · 58' T. Coulibaly · Samsunspor
31. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 79% now
32. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Kasımpaşa win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 18%)
33. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Kasımpaşa
34. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 51' E. Belozoglu · Kasımpaşa
35. 64′Kasımpaşa find the net on 64′. 3–1. 3–1 · 97–3–0
36. 64′We published Kasımpaşa at 43%. Our model now makes it 97%. 3–1 · 97–3–0
37. 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Kasımpaşa 3–1 Samsunspor
38. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Kasımpaşa win: 43% at kick-off, 97% now
39. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Samsunspor · On: S. Erakovic · Off: Y. E. Cift
40. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Samsunspor · On: A. Sekongo · Off: O. Ohlenschlaeger
41. 78′A goal for Kasımpaşa on 78′ — 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
42. 78′We published Kasımpaşa at 43%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
43. 78′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
44. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor
45. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 79' E. Mendes · Kasımpaşa
46. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kasımpaşa · On: T. Diarra · Off: A. Kol
47. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kasımpaşa · On: G. Yalcin · Off: A. Benedyczak
48. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Kasımpaşa · On: H. Hajradinovic · Off: K. Demirbay
49. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Kasımpaşa · On: K. Mouanga · Off: A. Karapo
50. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Kasımpaşa · On: M. Rafferty · Off: J. Rak-Sakyi
51. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Samsunspor · On: E. Tavsan · Off: Y. Kayan
52. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Samsunspor · On: S. Jarju · Off: T. Coulibaly
53. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Samsunspor
54. FTFULL TIME Kasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor
55. FTKasımpaşa 4–1 Samsunspor · Kasımpaşa win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.