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Eyüpspor v Göztepe

Eyüpspor

0–4Full time

Göztepe

Süper Lig · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 20:30

Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe GÖZTEPE WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Göztepe win~~39%

~~The market said~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.552

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.379

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 49 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Göztepe win at 39%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Göztepe 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 34–26–40
5′Little has changed for our model: Göztepe 39% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 33–27–40
11′Eyüpspor are down to ten from 10′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 33–28–39
11′11′ and it is 0–1: Juan on the scoresheet for Göztepe. 0–1 · 13–20–67
13′We said Göztepe at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 0–1 · 13–20–67
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 68% now
30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 10–21–69
32′We said Göztepe at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 10–21–70
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Eyüpspor
41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Göztepe
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Göztepe win: 39% at kick-off, 69% now
45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' K. Michalak · Eyüpspor
45′HALF-TIME Eyüpspor 0–1 Göztepe
46′SECOND HALF Eyüpspor 0–1 Göztepe
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Göztepe · On: Andre Henrique · Off: Janderson
47′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Göztepe
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Eyüpspor 0–2 Göztepe · Juan
54′⚽ GOAL · 55' Eyüpspor 0–2 Göztepe
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Eyüpspor 0–3 Göztepe · Andre Henrique
58′⚽ GOAL · 59' Eyüpspor 0–3 Göztepe
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eyüpspor · On: C. Raux Yao · Off: M. Demir
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eyüpspor · On: L. Pintor · Off: Y. Barasi
61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eyüpspor · On: T. Ulvan · Off: K. Michalak
70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Göztepe · On: S. Armstrong · Off: Juan
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe · Andre Henrique
75′🟥 RED CARD · 10' A. Abdullahi · Eyüpspor
75′⚽ GOAL · 11' Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe · Juan
75′🟨 YELLOW · 41' A. Yasar · Eyüpspor
75′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Juan · Göztepe
75′🟨 YELLOW · 47' K. Michalak · Eyüpspor
75′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Göztepe · On: Andre Henrique · Off: Janderson
75′🟨 YELLOW · 48' A. Antunes · Göztepe
75′⚽ GOAL · 55' Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe · Andre Henrique (assist R. Akonnor)
75′⚽ GOAL · 59' Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe · Andre Henrique
75′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eyüpspor · On: C. Raux Yao · Off: M. Demir
75′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eyüpspor · On: L. Pintor · Off: Y. Barasi
75′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Eyüpspor · On: T. Ulvan · Off: K. Michalak
75′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Göztepe · On: S. Armstrong · Off: Juan
75′⚽ GOAL · 76' Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe · Andre Henrique
75′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Eyüpspor · On: H. Akman · Off: D. Costa
75′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Eyüpspor · On: B. Boutobba · Off: Massanga Matondo
75′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Göztepe · On: E. Bekiroglu · Off: A. Antunes
75′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Göztepe · On: A. Matos · Off: N. Miroshi
82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Göztepe · On: F. Anjorin · Off: Rhaldney
83′We said Göztepe at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 0–1 · 0–8–92
FTFULL TIME Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe
FTEyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe · Göztepe win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 17:18 · locked at kick-off

Eyüpspor win33%

Draw28%

Göztepe win39%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 18:00

RefereeA. Karaoglan

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

5-3-2

Göztepe

3-4-1-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Eyüpspor

Göztepe

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	Göztepe	6	−4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	−14	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

5-3-2

31 H. Moldovan

77 K. Michalak

88 Massanga Matondo

4 A. Yasar

33 Z. Jules

21 S. Giordano

8 D. Costa

28 I. Taskin

70 M. Demir

29 A. Abdullahi

9 Y. Barasi

Coach · Mustafa Dalci

Substitutes

1 · E. Bilgin

7 · T. Ulvan

27 · Y. Demir

3 · A. Yavuz

42 · B. K. Satli

18 · H. Akman

15 · C. Raux Yao

98 · B. Boutobba

53 · M. Karakas

11 · L. Pintor

Göztepe

3-4-1-2

1 A. Ozcimen

4 T. Altikardes

19 N. Sonko Sundberg

26 M. Bokele

2 A. Kurtulan

5 Rhaldney

20 N. Miroshi

12 R. Akonnor

8 A. Antunes

39 Janderson

9 Juan

Coach · Stanimir Stoilov

Substitutes

33 · S. Ozturk

13 · E. Yildirim

10 · E. Bekiroglu

18 · F. Anjorin

6 · A. Matos

17 · G. Bayrakdar

22 · S. Armstrong

14 · B. Boke

7 · Andre Henrique

Our number · göztepe winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 17:18 · locked at kick-off

39% The market50%

Us39%

~~Market~~50%

We make Göztepe a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · göztepe win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 49% to 50% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eyüpspor win	33%	25%	+8
Draw	28%	25%	+3
Göztepe win	39%	50%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	49%	54%	−5
Both teams to score	54%	56%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	75%	77%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	28%	33%	−5
Eyüpspor or draw	61%	50%	+10
Eyüpspor clean sheet	25%	–	–
Göztepe clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 8.4 8.8 6.9 3.3 1 7.8 13.2 8.4 4.0 2 5.5 7.6 5.3 2.5 3 2.4 3.2 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Eyüpspor down, Göztepe across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,811 Süper Lig matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Süper Lig matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.1% of games this season, across 62 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 0.75 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Eyüpspor at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Göztepe away: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Eyüpspor, 1.40 for Göztepe. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~0.75

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GOZ 0–0 EYU · EYU 0–0 GOZ · GOZ 1–1 EYU · EYU 1–0 GOZ

Form · last six in Süper Lig

EYÜPSPOR

LLWLLL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–8

GÖZTEPE

DLLLDD3–3 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 2–4 · 2–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Galatasaray	7	+5	16
2	Beşiktaş	7	+8	15
3	Amed	7	+8	14
4	Fenerbahçe	7	+13	13
5	Trabzonspor	7	+11	13
6	Alanyaspor	7	+2	12
7	Kocaelispor	7	+2	12
8	Çorum FK	7	+4	10
9	Kasımpaşa	7	0	10
10	Rizespor	7	−2	10
11	Başakşehir	7	−1	8
12	Gaziantep FK	7	−3	8
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	7	−8	8
14	Erzurumspor FK	7	−8	8
15	Konyaspor	7	−4	5
16	Samsunspor	7	−9	4
17	Göztepe	6	−4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	−14	3