

Çorum FK v Rizespor
Çorum FK
RizesporSüper Lig · FRI 16 OCT · Corum Stadyumu
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Çorum FK win at 48%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Çorum FK was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–23–28
- 1′KICK-OFF Çorum FK v Rizespor
- 12′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Rizespor
- 27′SUBSTITUTION · 25' Çorum FK · On: A. Sengul · Off: A. Borza
- 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' B. Ozdemir · Çorum FK
- 32′32′: Q. Laci on the scoresheet for Rizespor, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 32′We said Çorum FK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 32′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 18–25–57
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Çorum FK 0–1 Rizespor · Q. Laci
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Rizespor win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Çorum FK win 18%)
- 37′9 shots for Rizespor, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 42–32–26
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Çorum FK 1–1 Rizespor
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 42% now
- 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Çorum FK win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Rizespor win 26%)
- 38′Çorum FK level it on 38′ through C. Under. 1–1. 1–1 · 41–32–26
- 45′HALF-TIME Çorum FK 1–1 Rizespor
- 46′SECOND HALF Çorum FK 1–1 Rizespor
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Çorum FK · On: Y. Ramadani · Off: M. Diomande
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 53′We said Çorum FK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–40–24
- 54′THE CALL SWINGS · 54' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Çorum FK win 36%)
- 57′We said Çorum FK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–43–23
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rizespor · On: E. Bulut · Off: V. Mihaila
- 66′We said Çorum FK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–51–20
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 72′We said Çorum FK at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–59–17
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Çorum FK · On: Y. Moukoko · Off: J. Ramirez
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Rizespor · On: M. Diakite · Off: I. Olawoyin
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Rizespor · On: G. Borrelli · Off: A. Sowe
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Rizespor · On: I. Doicaru · Off: A. Mebude
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Çorum FK · On: E. Mahmic · Off: C. Under
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Çorum FK · On: M. Karlsbakk · Off: B. Ozdemir
- 80′We published Çorum FK at 48%. Our model now makes it 89%. 2–1 · 89–11–1
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Çorum FK 2–1 Rizespor
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 89% now
- 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Çorum FK win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 11%)
- 81′Y. Moukoko scores for Çorum FK on 80′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 81′We published Çorum FK at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
- 82′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Rizespor
- 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Çorum FK
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Rizespor · On: D. Varesanovic · Off: Q. Laci
- 88′We published Çorum FK at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 90′Full time, 2–1. We called Çorum FK at 48% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Çorum FK win: 48% at kick-off, 98% now
- FTFULL TIME Çorum FK 2–1 Rizespor
- FTÇorum FK 2–1 Rizespor · Çorum FK win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassÇorum FK are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Çorum FK 48%, draw 25%, Rizespor 27%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Çorum FK win48%
Rizespor win27%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueCorum Stadyumu
RefereeD. Celik
Match timeline
All events
Çorum FKMIN
RizesporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Çorum FK
3-4-3
Rizespor
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Çorum FK
Rizespor
Last match: 11 Oct · Süper Lig
Last match: 10 Oct · Süper Lig
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Çorum FK
3-4-3
1 Marcos Felipe
5 Alexandre Penetra
2 C. Soyuncu
6 H. Smolcic
11 G. Sazdagi
3 B. Ozdemir
10 M. Diomande
24 A. Borza
7 C. Under
19 J. Ramirez
89 A. Kyziridis
Coach · Tamer Sivrikaya
Substitutes
18 · E. Erenturk
15 · A. Sengul
88 · C. Sertel
20 · Y. Ramadani
30 · A. Ildiz
26 · E. Mahmic
8 · M. Karlsbakk
21 · G. Gurpuz
9 · M. Thiam
14 · Y. Moukoko
Rizespor
4-1-4-1
75 Y. Fofana
54 M. Pala
21 S. Bakayoko
93 M. Sagnan
17 Z. Ariss
14 T. Antalyali
11 A. Mebude
10 I. Olawoyin
20 Q. Laci
7 V. Mihaila
9 A. Sowe
Coach · Recep Ucar
Substitutes
30 · Z. Gorgen
97 · E. Dogan
5 · T. T. Sanuc
37 · T. Sahin
19 · U. Erdem
6 · M. Diakite
8 · D. Varesanovic
79 · I. Doicaru
29 · G. Borrelli
99 · E. Bulut
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Çorum FK
3-4-3
1 Marcos Felipe
5 Alexandre Penetra
2 C. Soyuncu
6 H. Smolcic
11 G. Sazdagi
3 B. Ozdemir
10 M. Diomande
24 A. Borza
7 C. Under
19 J. Ramirez
89 A. Kyziridis
Coach · Tamer Sivrikaya
Substitutes
18 · E. Erenturk
15 · A. Sengul
88 · C. Sertel
20 · Y. Ramadani
30 · A. Ildiz
26 · E. Mahmic
8 · M. Karlsbakk
21 · G. Gurpuz
9 · M. Thiam
14 · Y. Moukoko
Rizespor
4-1-4-1
75 Y. Fofana
54 M. Pala
21 S. Bakayoko
93 M. Sagnan
17 Z. Ariss
14 T. Antalyali
11 A. Mebude
10 I. Olawoyin
20 Q. Laci
7 V. Mihaila
9 A. Sowe
Coach · Recep Ucar
Substitutes
30 · Z. Gorgen
97 · E. Dogan
5 · T. T. Sanuc
37 · T. Sahin
19 · U. Erdem
6 · M. Diakite
8 · D. Varesanovic
79 · I. Doicaru
29 · G. Borrelli
99 · E. Bulut
We make Çorum FK a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 45%, 48% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Çorum FK win | 48% | 47% | +1 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 0 |
| Rizespor win | 27% | 28% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 61% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 81% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 39% | −1 |
| Çorum FK or draw | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Çorum FK clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Rizespor clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Süper Lig this season · since 22 Aug
ÇORUM FK
RIZESPOR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Amed | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Fenerbahçe | 7 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | −2 | 10 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 12 | Gaziantep FK | 7 | −3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 7 | −8 | 8 |
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | −8 | 8 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 17 | Samsunspor | 7 | −9 | 4 |
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 7 | −18 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Galatasaray
Beşiktaş
Amed
Fenerbahçe
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
Kocaelispor
Kasımpaşa
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Erzurumspor FK
Göztepe
Konyaspor
Samsunspor
Eyüpspor