Amed v Konyaspor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Amed win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Amed was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
3. 1′KICK-OFF Amed v Konyaspor
4. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 18' Konyaspor
5. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' D. Turuc · Konyaspor
6. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Amed win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
7. 45′SECOND HALF Amed 0–0 Konyaspor
8. 47′HALF-TIME Amed 0–0 Konyaspor
9. 49′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–40–22
10. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Amed win 37%)
11. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Amed
12. 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 35–44–20
13. 57′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
14. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Amed · On: G. Gul · Off: F. Soyalp
15. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Amed · On: A. T. Bulbul · Off: R. Lutin
16. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Konyaspor · On: Mostafa Mohamed · Off: J. Muleka
17. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Amed win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
18. 65′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–18
19. 72′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–15
20. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Amed · On: M. Diagne · Off: G. Orban
21. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Konyaspor · On: J. Dompe · Off: D. Turuc
22. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Konyaspor · On: E. Colley · Off: D. Goncalves
23. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Amed win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
24. 77′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–69–12
25. 81′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
26. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Konyaspor · On: E. Bardhi · Off: M. Ibrahimoglu
27. 82′9 shots for Amed, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 13–79–8
28. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Amed win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
29. 85′We said Amed at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
30. 85′We published Amed at 50%. Our model now makes it 94%. 1–0 · 94–6–0
31. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Amed 1–0 Konyaspor
32. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Amed win: 50% at kick-off, 94% now
33. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Amed win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
34. 86′Amed ahead on 86′ through M. Diagne. 1–0. 1–0 · 95–5–0
35. 87′We published Amed at 50%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
36. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Konyaspor
37. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Amed · On: A. Cisse · Off: E. Krasniqi
38. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Amed · On: C. Ustundag · Off: D. Saba
39. 94′Full time, 1–0. We called Amed at 50% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
40. FTFULL TIME Amed 1–0 Konyaspor
41. FTAmed 1–0 Konyaspor · Amed win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.