Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Alanyaspor win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Alanyaspor 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 43–32–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor
4. 27′We said Alanyaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–62
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Alanyaspor 0–1 Kocaelispor
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Alanyaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 14% now
7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Kocaelispor win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Alanyaspor win 38%)
8. 28′Kocaelispor ahead on 27′ through B. Kutlu. 0–1. 0–1 · 13–25–62
9. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Alanyaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 0–1 · 13–25–62
11. 41′We said Alanyaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–90
12. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Alanyaspor 0–2 Kocaelispor
13. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Alanyaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 2% now
14. 42′A goal for Kocaelispor on 42′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–90
15. 45′SECOND HALF Alanyaspor 0–2 Kocaelispor
16. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Kocaelispor
17. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Alanyaspor · On: E. Keskin · Off: I. Hagi
18. 47′HALF-TIME Alanyaspor 0–2 Kocaelispor
19. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Alanyaspor · On: Maestro · Off: G. Makouta
20. 51′We said Alanyaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 1–2 · 7–23–69
21. 51′3 goals already, more than the 2.1 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 7–23–69
22. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor
23. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Alanyaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 7% now
24. 52′Alanyaspor score on 52′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 7–23–70
25. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Alanyaspor
26. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Kocaelispor · On: D. Agyei · Off: G. Sousa
27. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Alanyaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
28. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kocaelispor · On: M. Cinan · Off: R. Rivas
29. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kocaelispor · On: M. Altunbas · Off: M. Baku
30. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Alanyaspor · On: I. Celik · Off: B. Gezek
31. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Alanyaspor · On: O. Ben Ali · Off: F. Aksoy
32. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Kocaelispor
33. 82′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.1 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–1–99
34. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Alanyaspor 1–3 Kocaelispor
35. 82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Kocaelispor
36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kocaelispor · On: M. Maglica · Off: B. Kutlu
37. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Kocaelispor · On: T. Gulliksen · Off: F. Aye
38. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Alanyaspor
39. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Alanyaspor
40. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Kocaelispor
41. 95′1–2 at the end. Our 43% on Alanyaspor misses, and the record keeps it. 1–2 · 0–0–100
42. FTFULL TIME Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor
43. FTAlanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor · Alanyaspor win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.