Yeşilyurt Belediyespor v Silifke Belediyespor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 4–0 Silifke Belediyespor YEŞILYURT BELEDIYESPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.079

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win at 77%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 77% before kick-off, 77% now. 0–0 · 77–14–9
1′KICK-OFF Yeşilyurt Belediyespor v Silifke Belediyespor
26′A goal for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor on 25′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 89–8–3
26′We said Yeşilyurt Belediyespor at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–8–3
26′⚽ GOAL · 25' Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 1–0 Silifke Belediyespor
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win: 77% at kick-off, 89% now
28′Yeşilyurt Belediyespor score on 28′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 97–2–1
28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 2–0 Silifke Belediyespor
28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win: 77% at kick-off, 97% now
29′We said Yeşilyurt Belediyespor at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–1
36′Yeşilyurt Belediyespor find the net on 35′. 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
36′We said Yeşilyurt Belediyespor at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3–0 Silifke Belediyespor
45′HALF-TIME Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3–0 Silifke Belediyespor
46′SECOND HALF Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 3–0 Silifke Belediyespor
60′The goal count is tracking the 3.9 we expected. 3–0 · 100–0–0
FTFULL TIME Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 4–0 Silifke Belediyespor
FTYeşilyurt Belediyespor 4–0 Silifke Belediyespor · Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Yeşilyurt Belediyespor 77%, draw 14%, Silifke Belediyespor 9%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Yeşilyurt Belediyespor v Silifke BelediyesporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win77%

Draw14%

Silifke Belediyespor win9%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor

Silifke Belediyespor

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yeşilyurt belediyespor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

77% The market–

Us77%

We make Yeşilyurt Belediyespor a 77% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Yeşilyurt Belediyespor v Silifke Belediyespor~~3.04 – 0.90

~~Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L0 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 19 v 7~~1 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor win	77%	–	–
Draw	14%	–	–
Silifke Belediyespor win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor or draw	91%	–	–
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor clean sheet	42%	–	–
Silifke Belediyespor clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.1%

0123450 2.8 2.1 1 6.7 5.9 2.7 2 9.1 7.8 3.5 3 8.4 7.2 3.3 4 6.2 5.3 2.4 5 3.9 3.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Yeşilyurt Belediyespor down, Silifke Belediyespor across0–5 goals a side shown (89.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,333 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Yeşilyurt Belediyespor at home: 5.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Silifke Belediyespor away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

3.04 goals for Yeşilyurt Belediyespor, 0.90 for Silifke Belediyespor. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SIL 1–1 YES · YES 3–1 SIL · SIL 3–2 YES · YES 1–0 SIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept

YEŞILYURT BELEDIYESPOR

WWWWD3–1 · 1–0 · 8–0 · 9–1 · 1–1

SILIFKE BELEDIYESPOR

DWLLWL1–1 · 3–0 · 0–4 · 0–3 · 4–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	7	+23	19
2	Kırşehir Belediyespor	8	+18	19
3	Karaköprü Belediyespor	7	+10	18
4	Talasgücü Belediyespor	8	+10	18
5	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	7	+12	17
6	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	7	+12	16
7	Niğde Belediyesispor	7	+8	15
8	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	7	+1	10
9	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	7	−2	9
10	Adana Adaletgucu	8	−3	9
11	Osmaniyespor	7	−4	9
12	Ağrı 1970	7	−2	8
13	Silifke Belediyespor	7	−4	7
14	Karaman FK	7	−10	6
15	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	7	−15	5
16	Diyarbekirspor	7	−8	1
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	−21	1
18	Adanaspor	7	−25	0