Talasgücü Belediyespor v Adanaspor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Talasgücü Belediyespor 6–1 Adanaspor TALASGÜCÜ BELEDIYESPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Talasgücü Belediyespor win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.101

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Talasgücü Belediyespor win at 74%.
1′KICK-OFF Talasgücü Belediyespor v Adanaspor
3′Much as we predicted: Talasgücü Belediyespor was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 76% now. 0–0 · 76–15–10
4′Much as we predicted: Talasgücü Belediyespor was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 76% now. 0–0 · 76–15–10
13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Talasgücü Belediyespor 1–0 Adanaspor
15′⚽ GOAL · 12' Talasgücü Belediyespor 1–0 Adanaspor
21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Talasgücü Belediyespor 2–0 Adanaspor
25′20′ and it is 2–0: F. Sanliturk on the scoresheet for Talasgücü Belediyespor. 2–0 · 97–2–1
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Talasgücü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 97% now
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Talasgücü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 76% now
26′20′ and it is 2–0: F. Sanliturk on the scoresheet for Talasgücü Belediyespor. 2–0 · 97–2–1
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Talasgücü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 97% now
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Talasgücü Belediyespor 3–0 Adanaspor
45′A goal for Talasgücü Belediyespor on 45′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
45′⚽ GOAL · 46' Talasgücü Belediyespor 4–0 Adanaspor
45′HALF-TIME Talasgücü Belediyespor 4–0 Adanaspor
46′SECOND HALF Talasgücü Belediyespor 4–0 Adanaspor
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Talasgücü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 100% now
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Talasgücü Belediyespor 5–0 Adanaspor
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Talasgücü Belediyespor 5–1 Adanaspor
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Talasgücü Belediyespor 6–1 Adanaspor
FTFULL TIME Talasgücü Belediyespor 6–1 Adanaspor
FTTalasgücü Belediyespor 6–1 Adanaspor · Talasgücü Belediyespor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Talasgücü Belediyespor win74%

Draw15%

Adanaspor win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Talasgücü Belediyespor

Adanaspor

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Talasgücü Belediyespor	5	+5	13
17	Adanaspor	5	−17	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · talasgücü belediyespor winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Talasgücü Belediyespor a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Talasgücü Belediyespor win	74%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Adanaspor win	11%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Talasgücü Belediyespor or draw	89%	–	–
Talasgücü Belediyespor clean sheet	42%	–	–
Adanaspor clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.6%

0123450 3.4 2.6 1 7.6 6.7 3.0 2 9.6 8.2 3.7 3 8.4 7.1 3.2 4 5.8 4.9 2.2 5 3.4 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Talasgücü Belediyespor down, Adanaspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,316 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Talasgücü Belediyespor at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Adanaspor away: 0.50 scored, 6.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

2.78 goals for Talasgücü Belediyespor, 0.90 for Adanaspor. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3

TALASGÜCÜ BELEDIYESPOR

WWDWW1–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 4–2

ADANASPOR

LLLLL0–2 · 1–5 · 1–3 · 0–8 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	5	+20	15
2	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	5	+9	13
3	Talasgücü Belediyespor	5	+5	13
4	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	5	+11	12
5	Niğde Belediyesispor	4	+8	12
6	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	+7	12
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	4	+12	9
8	Ağrı 1970	5	0	7
9	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	5	−4	6
10	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	5	−2	4
11	Silifke Belediyespor	5	−6	4
12	Adana Adaletgucu	4	−3	3
13	Osmaniyespor	5	−6	3
14	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	5	−15	3
15	Diyarbekirspor	5	−6	1
16	Karaman FK	4	−13	0
17	Adanaspor	5	−17	0