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Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 3 › Niğde Belediyesispor v Ağrı 1970

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Niğde Belediyesispor v Ağrı 1970

Niğde Belediyesispor
2–1Full time
Ağrı 1970

3. Lig - Group 3 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Niğde Belediyesispor 2–1 Ağrı 1970 NIĞDE BELEDIYESISPOR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Niğde Belediyesispor win52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.341

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Niğde Belediyesispor win at 52%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Niğde Belediyesispor 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–26–22
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Niğde Belediyesispor v Ağrı 1970
  4. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  5. 44′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 40%. 0–0 · 40–40–19
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Niğde Belediyesispor 1–0 Ağrı 1970
  7. 46′Niğde Belediyesispor find the net on 45′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  8. 46′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  9. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Niğde Belediyesispor 1–0 Ağrı 1970
  10. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+1' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 81% now
  11. 46′SECOND HALF Niğde Belediyesispor 1–0 Ağrı 1970
  12. 47′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  13. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
  14. 63′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  15. 76′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  16. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 92% now
  17. 80′A goal for Ağrı 1970 on 80′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 15–78–8
  18. 80′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 1–1 · 15–78–8
  19. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Niğde Belediyesispor 1–1 Ağrı 1970
  20. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
  21. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Draw is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Niğde Belediyesispor win 92%)
  22. 81′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–7
  23. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
  24. 83′E. Usta scores for Ağrı 1970 on 78′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 11–83–6
  25. 84′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
  26. 91′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
  27. 94′Niğde Belediyesispor score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
  28. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+4' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 2% now
  29. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Niğde Belediyesispor 2–1 Ağrı 1970
  30. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Niğde Belediyesispor win: 52% at kick-off, 99% now
  31. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Niğde Belediyesispor win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
  32. 95′We said Niğde Belediyesispor at 52% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
  33. 95′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
  34. FTFULL TIME Niğde Belediyesispor 2–1 Ağrı 1970
  35. FTNiğde Belediyesispor 2–1 Ağrı 1970 · Niğde Belediyesispor win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Niğde Belediyesispor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Niğde Belediyesispor 52%, draw 26%, Ağrı 1970 22%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Niğde Belediyesispor v Ağrı 1970Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Niğde Belediyesispor win52%
Draw26%
Ağrı 1970 win22%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Niğde Belediyesispor

Ağrı 1970

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Niğde Belediyesispor7+815
12Ağrı 19707−28

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · niğde belediyesispor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
52% The market–
Us52%

We make Niğde Belediyesispor a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Niğde Belediyesispor v Ağrı 19701.56 – 0.88
Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 SeptW3 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 15 v 87 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:13
Our probability · Niğde Belediyesispor win

Published at 50%, 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Niğde Belediyesispor win52%––
Draw26%––
Ağrı 1970 win22%––
Over 2.5 goals44%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals69%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Niğde Belediyesispor or draw78%––
Niğde Belediyesispor clean sheet43%––
Ağrı 1970 clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%
0123450 10.0 7.6 3.5 1 13.4 11.5 5.1 2 10.3 8.5 3.8 3 5.5 4.5 2.0 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Niğde Belediyesispor down, Ağrı 1970 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting2.80
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsNIG 0–2 AGR · NIG 2–3 AGR · AGR 0–0 NIG · AGR 1–0 NIG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept

NIĞDE BELEDIYESISPOR

WWWLL3–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–4

AĞRI 1970

DLWWDL1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Yeşilyurt Belediyespor7+2319
2Kırşehir Belediyespor8+1819
3Karaköprü Belediyespor7+1018
4Talasgücü Belediyespor8+1018
5Mazıdağı Fosfatspor7+1217
6Bitlis Özgüzelderespor7+1216
7Niğde Belediyesispor7+815
8Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu7+110
9Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu7−29
10Adana Adaletgucu8−39
11Osmaniyespor7−49
12Ağrı 19707−28
13Silifke Belediyespor7−47
14Karaman FK7−106
15Yozgat Bld Bozokspor7−155
16Diyarbekirspor7−81
17Yeni Malatyaspor8−211
18Adanaspor7−250

The competition's standings before kick-off.