Mazıdağı Fosfatspor v Yozgat Bld Bozokspor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–0 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor MAZIDAĞI FOSFATSPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win~~58%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.004

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win at 58%.
1′Much as we predicted: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–21–20
1′KICK-OFF Mazıdağı Fosfatspor v Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
2′Much as we predicted: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–21–20
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win: 58% at kick-off, 47% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win: 58% at kick-off, 53% now
45′HALF-TIME Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–0 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
46′SECOND HALF Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–0 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win: 58% at kick-off, 47% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win: 58% at kick-off, 47% now
FTFULL TIME Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–0 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
FTMazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–0 Yozgat Bld Bozokspor · Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win58%

Draw21%

Yozgat Bld Bozokspor win21%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor

Yozgat Bld Bozokspor

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	5	+9	13
14	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	5	−15	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mazıdağı fosfatspor winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Mazıdağı Fosfatspor a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win	58%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor or draw	79%	–	–
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor clean sheet	32%	–	–
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 4.6 4.6 2.8 1 8.1 9.4 5.3 2.1 2 8.3 9.1 5.2 2.1 3 5.7 6.3 3.6 4 3.1 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mazıdağı Fosfatspor down, Yozgat Bld Bozokspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,316 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Mazıdağı Fosfatspor at home: 3.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Yozgat Bld Bozokspor away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor, 1.17 for Yozgat Bld Bozokspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3

MAZIDAĞI FOSFATSPOR

WWDWW3–1 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 2–1

YOZGAT BLD BOZOKSPOR

WLLWLL3–2 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–9

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	5	+20	15
2	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	5	+9	13
3	Talasgücü Belediyespor	5	+5	13
4	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	5	+11	12
5	Niğde Belediyesispor	4	+8	12
6	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	+7	12
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	4	+12	9
8	Ağrı 1970	5	0	7
9	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	5	−4	6
10	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	5	−2	4
11	Silifke Belediyespor	5	−6	4
12	Adana Adaletgucu	4	−3	3
13	Osmaniyespor	5	−6	3
14	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	5	−15	3
15	Diyarbekirspor	5	−6	1
16	Karaman FK	4	−13	0
17	Adanaspor	5	−17	0