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Mazıdağı Fosfatspor v Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor3. Lig - Group 3 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win at 37%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 36–27–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Mazıdağı Fosfatspor v Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win 34%)
- 41′Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score on 41′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 41′We published Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. Our model now makes it 70%. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 41′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 9–21–70
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win: 37% at kick-off, 70% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 39%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 46′SECOND HALF Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 56′We published Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
- 61′Mazıdağı Fosfatspor find the net on 61′. 1–1. 1–1 · 23–53–24
- 61′We said Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 23–53–24
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win: 37% at kick-off, 24% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win 77%)
- 70′We said Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–62–19
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
- 77′We said Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
- 83′We said Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 8–83–9
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
- 90′We said Bitlis Özgüzelderespor at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
- FTMazıdağı Fosfatspor 1–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor · Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Bitlis Özgüzelderespor just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 36%, draw 27%, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor 37%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win36%
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win37%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Mazıdağı FosfatsporMIN
Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Mazıdağı Fosfatspor
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3
Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Bitlis Özgüzelderespor a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win | 36% | – | – |
| Draw | 27% | – | – |
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win | 37% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | – | – |
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor or draw | 63% | – | – |
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept
MAZIDAĞI FOSFATSPOR
BITLIS ÖZGÜZELDERESPOR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor | 7 | +23 | 19 |
| 2 | Kırşehir Belediyespor | 8 | +18 | 19 |
| 3 | Karaköprü Belediyespor | 7 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 7 | +12 | 17 |
| 5 | Talasgücü Belediyespor | 7 | +10 | 17 |
| 6 | Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 7 | +12 | 16 |
| 7 | Niğde Belediyesispor | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 8 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 10 | Adana Adaletgucu | 8 | −3 | 9 |
| 11 | Osmaniyespor | 7 | −4 | 9 |
| 12 | Ağrı 1970 | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 | Silifke Belediyespor | 7 | −4 | 7 |
| 14 | Karaman FK | 7 | −10 | 6 |
| 15 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor | 7 | −15 | 5 |
| 16 | Diyarbekirspor | 7 | −8 | 1 |
| 17 | Yeni Malatyaspor | 7 | −21 | 0 |
| 18 | Adanaspor | 7 | −25 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Yeşilyurt Belediyespor
Kırşehir Belediyespor
Karaköprü Belediyespor
Talasgücü Belediyespor
Niğde Belediyesispor
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
Adana Adaletgucu
Osmaniyespor
Ağrı 1970
Silifke Belediyespor
Karaman FK
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
Diyarbekirspor
Yeni Malatyaspor
Adanaspor