Kırşehir Belediyespor v Ağrı 1970 prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Kırşehir Belediyespor 0–0 Ağrı 1970 KIRŞEHIR BELEDIYESPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kırşehir Belediyespor win~~68%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.147

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 8 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kırşehir Belediyespor win at 68%.
1′KICK-OFF Kırşehir Belediyespor v Ağrı 1970
2′Much as we predicted: Kırşehir Belediyespor was 68% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–18–12
3′Much as we predicted: Kırşehir Belediyespor was 68% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–18–12
45′We said Kırşehir Belediyespor at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 55–31–14
45′HALF-TIME Kırşehir Belediyespor 0–0 Ağrı 1970
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kırşehir Belediyespor win: 68% at kick-off, 55% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Kırşehir Belediyespor win: 68% at kick-off, 64% now
46′SECOND HALF Kırşehir Belediyespor 0–0 Ağrı 1970
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Kırşehir Belediyespor win: 68% at kick-off, 55% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Kırşehir Belediyespor win: 68% at kick-off, 55% now
FTFULL TIME Kırşehir Belediyespor 0–0 Ağrı 1970
FTKırşehir Belediyespor 0–0 Ağrı 1970 · Kırşehir Belediyespor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kırşehir Belediyespor win68%

Draw18%

Ağrı 1970 win14%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kırşehir Belediyespor

Ağrı 1970

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	4	+12	9
8	Ağrı 1970	5	0	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kırşehir belediyespor winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Kırşehir Belediyespor a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kırşehir Belediyespor win	68%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Ağrı 1970 win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Kırşehir Belediyespor or draw	86%	–	–
Kırşehir Belediyespor clean sheet	42%	–	–
Ağrı 1970 clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.2%

0123450 5.0 3.8 1 9.3 8.3 3.7 2 10.2 8.7 4.0 3 7.7 6.5 3.0 4 4.7 3.9 5 2.6 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Kırşehir Belediyespor down, Ağrı 1970 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,316 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Kırşehir Belediyespor at home: 4.00 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 1). Ağrı 1970 away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.40 goals for Kırşehir Belediyespor, 0.90 for Ağrı 1970. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3

KIRŞEHIR BELEDIYESPOR

WLWW4–0 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 7–1

AĞRI 1970

LLDLWW0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	5	+20	15
2	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	5	+9	13
3	Talasgücü Belediyespor	5	+5	13
4	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	5	+11	12
5	Niğde Belediyesispor	4	+8	12
6	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	+7	12
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	4	+12	9
8	Ağrı 1970	5	0	7
9	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	5	−4	6
10	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	5	−2	4
11	Silifke Belediyespor	5	−6	4
12	Adana Adaletgucu	4	−3	3
13	Osmaniyespor	5	−6	3
14	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	5	−15	3
15	Diyarbekirspor	5	−6	1
16	Karaman FK	4	−13	0
17	Adanaspor	5	−17	0