Karaköprü Belediyespor v Karaman FK prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Karaköprü Belediyespor 6–0 Karaman FK KARAKÖPRÜ BELEDIYESPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karaköprü Belediyespor win~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.105

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Karaköprü Belediyespor win at 74%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Karaköprü Belediyespor 74% before kick-off, 74% now. 0–0 · 74–16–10
1′KICK-OFF Karaköprü Belediyespor v Karaman FK
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Karaköprü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
35′Karaköprü Belediyespor score on 35′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 89–9–2
35′We said Karaköprü Belediyespor at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–9–2
35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Karaköprü Belediyespor 1–0 Karaman FK
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Karaköprü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 89% now
36′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 89–9–2
37′Karaköprü Belediyespor find the net on 37′. 2–0. 2–0 · 98–2–0
37′⚽ GOAL · 37' Karaköprü Belediyespor 2–0 Karaman FK
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Karaköprü Belediyespor win: 74% at kick-off, 98% now
38′We said Karaköprü Belediyespor at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
45′HALF-TIME Karaköprü Belediyespor 2–0 Karaman FK
46′SECOND HALF Karaköprü Belediyespor 2–0 Karaman FK
49′A goal for Karaköprü Belediyespor on 49′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Karaköprü Belediyespor 3–0 Karaman FK
50′We said Karaköprü Belediyespor at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
58′Karaköprü Belediyespor score on 58′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Karaköprü Belediyespor 4–0 Karaman FK
59′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
65′Karaköprü Belediyespor find the net on 64′. 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
65′5 goals already, more than the 3.3 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
65′⚽ GOAL · 64' Karaköprü Belediyespor 5–0 Karaman FK
89′A goal for Karaköprü Belediyespor on 89′ — 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
89′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 6–0 · 100–0–0
89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Karaköprü Belediyespor 6–0 Karaman FK
FTFULL TIME Karaköprü Belediyespor 6–0 Karaman FK
FTKaraköprü Belediyespor 6–0 Karaman FK · Karaköprü Belediyespor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Karaköprü Belediyespor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Karaköprü Belediyespor 74%, draw 16%, Karaman FK 10%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Karaköprü Belediyespor v Karaman FKBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Karaköprü Belediyespor win74%

Draw16%

Karaman FK win10%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Karaköprü Belediyespor

Karaman FK

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Karaköprü Belediyespor	7	+10	18
14	Karaman FK	7	−10	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karaköprü belediyespor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off

74% The market–

Us74%

We make Karaköprü Belediyespor a 74% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Karaköprü Belediyespor v Karaman FK~~2.53 – 0.73

~~Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D0 L1 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 18 v 6~~3 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Karaköprü Belediyespor win

Published at 73%, 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karaköprü Belediyespor win	74%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Karaman FK win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Karaköprü Belediyespor or draw	90%	–	–
Karaköprü Belediyespor clean sheet	49%	–	–
Karaman FK clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.8%

0123450 4.9 3.2 1 10.2 7.4 2.8 2 11.8 8.3 3.2 3 9.5 6.5 2.5 4 6.1 4.1 5 3.4 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Karaköprü Belediyespor down, Karaman FK across0–5 goals a side shown (93.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,333 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.4% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Karaköprü Belediyespor at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Karaman FK away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

2.53 goals for Karaköprü Belediyespor, 0.73 for Karaman FK. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept

KARAKÖPRÜ BELEDIYESPOR

WWWLW2–1 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

KARAMAN FK

LLLLWL0–3 · 0–3 · 0–1 · 1–7 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	7	+23	19
2	Kırşehir Belediyespor	8	+18	19
3	Karaköprü Belediyespor	7	+10	18
4	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	7	+12	17
5	Talasgücü Belediyespor	7	+10	17
6	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	7	+12	16
7	Niğde Belediyesispor	7	+8	15
8	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	7	+1	10
9	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	7	−2	9
10	Adana Adaletgucu	8	−3	9
11	Osmaniyespor	7	−4	9
12	Ağrı 1970	7	−2	8
13	Silifke Belediyespor	7	−4	7
14	Karaman FK	7	−10	6
15	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	7	−15	5
16	Diyarbekirspor	7	−8	1
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	−21	0
18	Adanaspor	7	−25	0