Karaköprü Belediyespor v Bitlis Özgüzelderespor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05

Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor KARAKÖPRÜ BELEDIYESPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karaköprü Belediyespor win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.736

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 5 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Karaköprü Belediyespor win at 44%.
1′KICK-OFF Karaköprü Belediyespor v Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
2′Little has changed for our model: Karaköprü Belediyespor 44% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–25–31
45′HALF-TIME Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–0 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
46′SECOND HALF Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–0 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
FTFULL TIME Karaköprü Belediyespor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
FTKaraköprü Belediyespor 0–1 Bitlis Özgüzelderespor · Karaköprü Belediyespor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Karaköprü Belediyespor win44%

Draw25%

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win31%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Karaköprü Belediyespor

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor

15Days since last match8

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	5	+11	12
6	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	+7	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karaköprü belediyespor winPublished 11 Oct 12:33

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Karaköprü Belediyespor a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karaköprü Belediyespor win	44%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Karaköprü Belediyespor or draw	69%	–	–
Karaköprü Belediyespor clean sheet	30%	–	–
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 6.8 7.2 4.7 2.1 1 9.0 11.1 6.8 3.0 2 7.1 8.3 5.2 2.3 3 3.9 4.5 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karaköprü Belediyespor down, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,316 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Karaköprü Belediyespor at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Bitlis Özgüzelderespor away: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Karaköprü Belediyespor, 1.29 for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3

KARAKÖPRÜ BELEDIYESPOR

WDWWWW2–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 2–0

BITLIS ÖZGÜZELDERESPOR

WWWLW2–0 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	5	+20	15
2	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	5	+9	13
3	Talasgücü Belediyespor	5	+5	13
4	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	5	+11	12
5	Niğde Belediyesispor	4	+8	12
6	Karaköprü Belediyespor	4	+7	12
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	4	+12	9
8	Ağrı 1970	5	0	7
9	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	5	−4	6
10	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	5	−2	4
11	Silifke Belediyespor	5	−6	4
12	Adana Adaletgucu	4	−3	3
13	Osmaniyespor	5	−6	3
14	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	5	−15	3
15	Diyarbekirspor	5	−6	1
16	Karaman FK	4	−13	0
17	Adanaspor	5	−17	0