Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 3 › Diyarbekirspor v Adanaspor

Back
Turkey flag

Diyarbekirspor v Adanaspor

Diyarbekirspor
3–1Full time
Adanaspor

3. Lig - Group 3 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53
Diyarbekirspor 3–1 Adanaspor DIYARBEKIRSPOR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Diyarbekirspor win64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.190

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Diyarbekirspor win at 64%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Diyarbekirspor 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–19–17
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Diyarbekirspor v Adanaspor
  4. 9′Diyarbekirspor find the net on 9′. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–6
  5. 9′We said Diyarbekirspor at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–11–6
  6. 9′Diyarbekirspor ahead on 8′ through E. Sayar. 1–0. 1–0 · 83–11–6
  7. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Diyarbekirspor 1–0 Adanaspor
  8. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Diyarbekirspor win: 64% at kick-off, 83% now
  9. 21′A goal for Diyarbekirspor on 21′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  10. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Diyarbekirspor 2–0 Adanaspor
  11. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Diyarbekirspor win: 64% at kick-off, 95% now
  12. 22′We said Diyarbekirspor at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  13. 35′Adanaspor score on 34′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 83–13–5
  14. 35′⚽ GOAL · 34' Diyarbekirspor 2–1 Adanaspor
  15. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Diyarbekirspor win: 64% at kick-off, 83% now
  16. 42′Diyarbekirspor find the net on 42′. 3–1. 3–1 · 96–3–1
  17. 42′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 96–3–1
  18. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Diyarbekirspor 3–1 Adanaspor
  19. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Diyarbekirspor win: 64% at kick-off, 96% now
  20. 43′Diyarbekirspor ahead on 41′ through H. Cokyasar. 3–1. 3–1 · 96–3–1
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Diyarbekirspor 3–1 Adanaspor
  22. 46′SECOND HALF Diyarbekirspor 3–1 Adanaspor
  23. 81′We said Diyarbekirspor at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  24. FTFULL TIME Diyarbekirspor 3–1 Adanaspor
  25. FTDiyarbekirspor 3–1 Adanaspor · Diyarbekirspor win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Diyarbekirspor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Diyarbekirspor 64%, draw 19%, Adanaspor 17%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Diyarbekirspor v AdanasporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Diyarbekirspor win64%
Draw19%
Adanaspor win17%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Diyarbekirspor

Adanaspor

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
16Diyarbekirspor7−81
18Adanaspor7−250

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · diyarbekirspor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
64% The market–
Us64%

We make Diyarbekirspor a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Diyarbekirspor v Adanaspor2.33 – 1.05
Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 SeptW0 D1 L5 · W0 D0 L6
Table places · points 1 v 016 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 11:54
Our probability · Diyarbekirspor win

Published at 66%, 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Diyarbekirspor win64%––
Draw19%––
Adanaspor win17%––
Over 2.5 goals64%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals43%––
Diyarbekirspor or draw83%––
Diyarbekirspor clean sheet36%––
Adanaspor clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.1%
0123450 4.3 3.8 2.1 1 8.2 8.5 4.3 2 9.1 9.0 4.7 3 6.9 6.8 3.5 4 4.1 4.0 2.1 5 2.0 2.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Diyarbekirspor down, Adanaspor across0–5 goals a side shown (95.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept

DIYARBEKIRSPOR

LDLLLL0–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 0–1

ADANASPOR

LLLLLL1–5 · 1–3 · 0–8 · 1–2 · 1–6 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Yeşilyurt Belediyespor7+2319
2Kırşehir Belediyespor8+1819
3Karaköprü Belediyespor7+1018
4Mazıdağı Fosfatspor7+1217
5Talasgücü Belediyespor7+1017
6Bitlis Özgüzelderespor7+1216
7Niğde Belediyesispor7+815
8Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu7+110
9Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu7−29
10Adana Adaletgucu8−39
11Osmaniyespor7−49
12Ağrı 19707−28
13Silifke Belediyespor7−47
14Karaman FK7−106
15Yozgat Bld Bozokspor7−155
16Diyarbekirspor7−81
17Yeni Malatyaspor7−210
18Adanaspor7−250

The competition's standings before kick-off.