Ağrı 1970 v Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 14:51

Ağrı 1970 0–2 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu AĞRI 1970 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ağrı 1970 win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.708

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 10 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ağrı 1970 win at 41%.
1′Much as we predicted: Ağrı 1970 was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–28–32
1′KICK-OFF Ağrı 1970 v Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
7′Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu find the net on 7′. 0–1. 0–1 · 18–22–60
7′We said Ağrı 1970 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–1 · 18–22–60
7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Ağrı 1970 0–1 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
7′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 7' Ağrı 1970 win: 41% at kick-off, 18% now
7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Ağrı 1970 win 18%)
25′We said Ağrı 1970 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 13–23–64
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Ağrı 1970 win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
45′We said Ağrı 1970 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
45′HALF-TIME Ağrı 1970 0–1 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
46′SECOND HALF Ağrı 1970 0–1 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
55′A goal for Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu on 55′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–6–93
55′We said Ağrı 1970 at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–2 · 1–6–93
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Ağrı 1970 0–2 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Ağrı 1970 win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
FTFULL TIME Ağrı 1970 0–2 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
FTAğrı 1970 0–2 Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu · Ağrı 1970 win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ağrı 1970 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ağrı 1970 41%, draw 28%, Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 32%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Ağrı 1970 v Kırıkkale Büyük AnadoluBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Ağrı 1970 win41%

Draw28%

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win32%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:00

Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ağrı 1970

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Ağrı 1970	6	0	8
10	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	6	−1	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ağrı 1970 winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Ağrı 1970 a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ağrı 1970 v Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu~~1.32 – 1.13

~~Form · 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 7~~9 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ağrı 1970 win	41%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	44%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Ağrı 1970 or draw	68%	–	–
Ağrı 1970 clean sheet	34%	–	–
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 10.2 9.6 5.5 2.2 1 11.3 12.3 6.6 2.6 2 7.5 7.7 4.2 3 3.4 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ağrı 1970 down, Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,327 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.43 goals a meeting; 2 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ağrı 1970 at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu away: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Ağrı 1970, 1.13 for Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.43

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 7

~~Both scored~~3 of 7

~~Last meetings~~AGR 7–0 KIR · KIR 1–1 AGR · AGR 1–2 KIR · KIR 1–1 AGR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 6 Sept

AĞRI 1970

LDLWWD0–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–0

KIRIKKALE BÜYÜK ANADOLU

LLDLWW1–3 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	7	+23	19
2	Karaköprü Belediyespor	7	+10	18
3	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	7	+12	16
4	Talasgücü Belediyespor	6	+10	16
5	Niğde Belediyesispor	6	+10	15
6	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	7	+9	15
7	Kırşehir Belediyespor	6	+15	13
8	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	7	−2	9
9	Ağrı 1970	6	0	8
10	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	6	−1	7
11	Silifke Belediyespor	7	−4	7
12	Adana Adaletgucu	6	−3	6
13	Osmaniyespor	6	−5	6
14	Karaman FK	6	−9	6
15	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	6	−15	4
16	Diyarbekirspor	6	−7	1
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	−18	1
18	Adanaspor	7	−25	0