Adanaspor v Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu prediction · 3. Lig

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AdanasporDrawKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Adanaspor 16%, draw 16%, Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 68%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Adanaspor v Kırıkkale Büyük AnadoluBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Adanaspor win16%

Draw16%

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win68%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 10:00

Round3. Lig Group 3 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Adanaspor

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

6Days since last match12

Last match: 24 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	7	+1	10
18	Adanaspor	8	−27	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kırıkkale büyük anadolu winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu a 68% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–2.9, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Adanaspor v Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu~~1.22 – 2.90

~~Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D0 L6 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 0 v 10~~18 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Adanaspor win	16%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win	68%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Adanaspor or draw	32%	–	–
Adanaspor clean sheet	8%	–	–
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 7.8%

0123450 2.7 5.6 6.8 5.8 4.1 2.51 2.8 6.7 7.8 6.6 4.5 2.82 4.0 4.7 4.0 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Adanaspor down, Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu across0–5 goals a side shown (89.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,339 3. Lig - Group 3 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.9% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Adanaspor at home: 0.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 4). Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Adanaspor, 2.90 for Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3 this season · since 12 Sept

ADANASPOR

LLLLLL1–3 · 0–8 · 1–2 · 1–6 · 0–3 · 1–3

KIRIKKALE BÜYÜK ANADOLU

LDLWWW1–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Yeşilyurt Belediyespor	8	+27	22
2	Karaköprü Belediyespor	8	+16	21
3	Kırşehir Belediyespor	8	+18	19
4	Mazıdağı Fosfatspor	8	+12	18
5	Talasgücü Belediyespor	8	+10	18
6	Niğde Belediyesispor	8	+9	18
7	Bitlis Özgüzelderespor	8	+12	17
8	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	8	0	12
9	Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu	7	+1	10
10	Adana Adaletgucu	8	−3	9
11	Osmaniyespor	7	−4	9
12	Ağrı 1970	8	−3	8
13	Silifke Belediyespor	8	−8	7
14	Karaman FK	8	−16	6
15	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor	8	−17	5
16	Diyarbekirspor	8	−6	4
17	Yeni Malatyaspor	8	−21	1
18	Adanaspor	8	−27	0