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Model 1.1

Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 3 › Adana Adaletgucu v Silifke Belediyespor

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Adana Adaletgucu v Silifke Belediyespor

Adana Adaletgucu
1–4Full time
Silifke Belediyespor

3. Lig - Group 3 · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 15:31
Adana Adaletgucu 1–4 Silifke Belediyespor ADANA ADALETGUCU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Adana Adaletgucu win51%
The market said48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.866
The market’s Brier score0.803

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 47 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Adana Adaletgucu win at 51%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Adana Adaletgucu was 51% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 52–23–25
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Adana Adaletgucu v Silifke Belediyespor
  4. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Adana Adaletgucu 1–0 Silifke Belediyespor
  5. 10′8′ and it is 1–0: Adana Adaletgucu have scored. 1–0 · 75–16–10
  6. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  7. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  8. 12′We published Adana Adaletgucu at 51%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–16–9
  9. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  10. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  11. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  12. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  13. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  14. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  15. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  16. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  17. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  18. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  19. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  20. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  21. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  22. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  23. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  24. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  25. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  26. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  27. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 76–17–8
  28. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  29. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  30. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  31. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  32. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  33. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  34. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  35. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  36. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  37. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  38. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  39. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  40. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  41. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  42. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Adana Adaletgucu 1–1 Silifke Belediyespor
  43. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Adana Adaletgucu win: 51% at kick-off, 76% now
  44. 45′HALF-TIME Adana Adaletgucu 1–1 Silifke Belediyespor
  45. 46′SECOND HALF Adana Adaletgucu 1–1 Silifke Belediyespor
  46. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Adana Adaletgucu 1–2 Silifke Belediyespor
  47. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Adana Adaletgucu 1–3 Silifke Belediyespor
  48. 57′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Adana Adaletgucu
  49. 75′PENALTY MISSED · 74' Adana Adaletgucu
  50. 87′🟥 RED CARD · 86' Adana Adaletgucu
  51. 90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Adana Adaletgucu 1–4 Silifke Belediyespor
  52. FTFULL TIME Adana Adaletgucu 1–4 Silifke Belediyespor
  53. FTAdana Adaletgucu 1–4 Silifke Belediyespor · Adana Adaletgucu win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off

Adana Adaletgucu win51%
Draw23%
Silifke Belediyespor win26%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Adana Adaletgucu

Silifke Belediyespor

9Days since last match9
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Silifke Belediyespor5−64
14Adana Adaletgucu4−33

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · adana adaletgucu winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 13:01 · locked at kick-off
51% The market48%
Us51%
Market48%

We make Adana Adaletgucu a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:2112 OCT 10:24
Our probability · adana adaletgucu win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Adana Adaletgucu win51%48%+3
Draw23%24%−1
Silifke Belediyespor win26%28%−2
Over 2.5 goals58%59%−1
Both teams to score57%59%−2
Over 1.5 goals80%77%+2
Over 3.5 goals37%36%+1
Adana Adaletgucu or draw74%72%+2
Adana Adaletgucu clean sheet31%––
Silifke Belediyespor clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%
0123450 5.8 5.8 3.7 1 8.7 10.4 6.1 2.6 2 7.8 8.8 5.3 2.2 3 4.8 5.4 3.2 4 2.3 2.6 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Adana Adaletgucu down, Silifke Belediyespor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meeting of these two in 3. Lig - Group 3 since 2021 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 3

ADANA ADALETGUCU

LWLL2–3 · 5–1 · 0–1 · 0–5

SILIFKE BELEDIYESPOR

LDWLL0–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 0–4 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Talasgücü Belediyespor6+1016
2Yeşilyurt Belediyespor5+2015
3Bitlis Özgüzelderespor6+1215
4Mazıdağı Fosfatspor6+914
5Niğde Belediyesispor5+712
6Karaköprü Belediyespor5+612
7Kırşehir Belediyespor5+1210
8Ağrı 1970608
9Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu6−17
10Osmaniyespor6−56
11Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu6−56
12Silifke Belediyespor5−64
13Yozgat Bld Bozokspor6−154
14Adana Adaletgucu4−33
15Karaman FK5−123
16Diyarbekirspor6−71
17Adanaspor6−220

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.