Uşak Spor v Gaziemirspor prediction · 3. Lig

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Uşak SporDrawGaziemirspor

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Uşak Spor 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Uşak Spor are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Uşak Spor 48%, draw 28%, Gaziemirspor 24%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Uşak Spor v GaziemirsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Uşak Spor win48%

Draw28%

Gaziemirspor win24%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

Round3. Lig Group 2 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Uşak Spor

Gaziemirspor

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Gaziemirspor	7	−1	9
13	Uşak Spor	7	−2	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · uşak spor winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Uşak Spor a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Uşak Spor v Gaziemirspor~~1.57 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 6 v 9~~13 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Uşak Spor win	48%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Gaziemirspor win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Uşak Spor or draw	76%	–	–
Uşak Spor clean sheet	36%	–	–
Gaziemirspor clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.0%

0123450 9.4 6.4 4.0 1 10.3 13.0 6.0 2.1 2 9.0 8.9 4.6 3 4.8 4.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Uşak Spor down, Gaziemirspor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,343 3. Lig - Group 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 49.2% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Uşak Spor at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Gaziemirspor away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Uşak Spor, 1.03 for Gaziemirspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept

UŞAK SPOR

DLWLLD2–2 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

GAZIEMIRSPOR

LWWLWL0–2 · 5–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nilüfer Belediye	8	+9	18
2	Etimesgut SK	8	+8	17
3	Anadolu Üniversitesi	8	+7	15
4	Ayvalikgucu	8	+5	15
5	Bursa Yıldırımspor	7	+5	15
6	Eskişehirspor	7	+13	14
7	Bigaspor	8	+4	14
8	Balıkesirspor	7	+4	13
9	Karsiyaka	7	0	9
10	Gaziemirspor	7	−1	9
11	Altay	7	−2	9
12	Söke 1970	7	0	7
13	Uşak Spor	7	−2	6
14	Bucaspor 1928	8	−6	6
15	Denizli İYG	8	−8	6
16	Alanya 1221 FK	7	−12	4
17	Akşehirspor	8	−15	3
18	Kepezspor	7	−9	2