Uşak Spor v Altay prediction · 3. Lig - Group 2

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Uşak Spor 0–1 Altay UŞAK SPOR WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Uşak Spor win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.921

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Uşak Spor win at 49%.
1′KICK-OFF Uşak Spor v Altay
3′Much as we predicted: Uşak Spor was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 51% now. 0–0 · 51–26–24
5′Much as we predicted: Uşak Spor was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–26–24
45′HALF-TIME Uşak Spor 0–0 Altay
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Uşak Spor win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Uşak Spor win: 49% at kick-off, 45% now
46′SECOND HALF Uşak Spor 0–0 Altay
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Uşak Spor win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Uşak Spor win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Uşak Spor win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Uşak Spor win: 49% at kick-off, 39% now
90′⚽ GOAL · 94' Uşak Spor 0–1 Altay
FTFULL TIME Uşak Spor 0–1 Altay
FTUşak Spor 0–1 Altay · Uşak Spor win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Uşak Spor win49%

Draw28%

Altay win23%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Uşak Spor

Altay

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Altay	5	0	6
12	Uşak Spor	5	−1	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · uşak spor winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Uşak Spor a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Uşak Spor win	49%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Altay win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Uşak Spor or draw	77%	–	–
Uşak Spor clean sheet	38%	–	–
Altay clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 10.1 6.4 3.9 1 10.8 13.1 5.7 2 9.4 8.9 4.3 3 5.0 4.7 2.3 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Uşak Spor down, Altay across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,325 3. Lig - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.1% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Uşak Spor at home: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Altay away: 1.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Uşak Spor, 0.98 for Altay. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2

UŞAK SPOR

LDDLWL0–3 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 0–1

ALTAY

DDLWD1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nilüfer Belediye	5	+8	13
2	Etimesgut SK	5	+6	12
3	Anadolu Üniversitesi	5	+7	11
4	Bursa Yıldırımspor	5	+4	11
5	Eskişehirspor	5	+10	10
6	Ayvalikgucu	5	+4	10
7	Balıkesirspor	5	+2	9
8	Bigaspor	5	+3	8
9	Söke 1970	5	+1	6
10	Altay	5	0	6
11	Gaziemirspor	5	−1	6
12	Uşak Spor	5	−1	5
13	Karsiyaka	5	−1	5
14	Bucaspor 1928	5	−6	3
15	Akşehirspor	5	−9	3
16	Kepezspor	5	−6	2
17	Denizli İYG	5	−9	2
18	Alanya 1221 FK	5	−12	1