Söke 1970 v Bigaspor prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Söke 1970 2–3 Bigaspor SÖKE 1970 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Söke 1970 win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.777

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Söke 1970 win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Söke 1970 42% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–26–30
1′KICK-OFF Söke 1970 v Bigaspor
2′Little has changed for our model: Söke 1970 42% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–27–30
31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Söke 1970 1–0 Bigaspor
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Söke 1970 win: 42% at kick-off, 75% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Söke 1970 win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
44′Söke 1970 ahead on 31′ through Y. Bagci. 1–0. 1–0 · 75–19–6
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Söke 1970 win: 42% at kick-off, 75% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Söke 1970 win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Söke 1970 win: 42% at kick-off, 75% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Söke 1970 win: 42% at kick-off, 40% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 47' Söke 1970 1–1 Bigaspor
45′HALF-TIME Söke 1970 1–1 Bigaspor
46′SECOND HALF Söke 1970 1–1 Bigaspor
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Söke 1970 2–1 Bigaspor
74′⚽ GOAL · 31' Söke 1970 2–1 Bigaspor · Y. Bagci (assist S. On)
74′⚽ GOAL · 47' Söke 1970 2–1 Bigaspor · A. Araz
74′⚽ GOAL · 60' Söke 1970 2–1 Bigaspor · C. C. Sesli
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Söke 1970 2–2 Bigaspor
85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Söke 1970 2–3 Bigaspor
FTFULL TIME Söke 1970 2–3 Bigaspor
FTSöke 1970 2–3 Bigaspor · Söke 1970 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Söke 1970 win42%

Draw29%

Bigaspor win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Söke 1970

Bigaspor

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Bigaspor	5	+3	8
9	Söke 1970	5	+1	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · söke 1970 winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Söke 1970 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Söke 1970 win	42%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Bigaspor win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Söke 1970 or draw	72%	–	–
Söke 1970 clean sheet	33%	–	–
Bigaspor clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 10.0 7.3 5.0 1 9.6 13.5 6.7 2.6 2 7.8 8.4 4.7 3 3.8 4.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Söke 1970 down, Bigaspor across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,325 3. Lig - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.1% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Söke 1970 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Bigaspor away: 1.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Söke 1970, 1.13 for Bigaspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2

SÖKE 1970

WLWDDD1–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

BIGASPOR

DDWLW1–1 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nilüfer Belediye	5	+8	13
2	Etimesgut SK	5	+6	12
3	Anadolu Üniversitesi	5	+7	11
4	Bursa Yıldırımspor	5	+4	11
5	Eskişehirspor	5	+10	10
6	Ayvalikgucu	5	+4	10
7	Balıkesirspor	5	+2	9
8	Bigaspor	5	+3	8
9	Söke 1970	5	+1	6
10	Altay	5	0	6
11	Gaziemirspor	5	−1	6
12	Uşak Spor	5	−1	5
13	Karsiyaka	5	−1	5
14	Bucaspor 1928	5	−6	3
15	Akşehirspor	5	−9	3
16	Kepezspor	5	−6	2
17	Denizli İYG	5	−9	2
18	Alanya 1221 FK	5	−12	1