Nilüfer Belediye v Ayvalikgucu

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Nilüfer Belediye win at 41%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Nilüfer Belediye was 41% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 41–31–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Nilüfer Belediye v Ayvalikgucu
4. 17′Ayvalikgucu find the net on 17′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–23–61
5. 17′We said Nilüfer Belediye at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–23–61
6. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Nilüfer Belediye 0–1 Ayvalikgucu
7. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Nilüfer Belediye win: 41% at kick-off, 16% now
8. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' Ayvalikgucu win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Nilüfer Belediye win 39%)
9. 24′We said Nilüfer Belediye at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–62
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 13–23–64
11. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Nilüfer Belediye win: 41% at kick-off, 11% now
12. 45′We said Nilüfer Belediye at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
13. 45′HALF-TIME Nilüfer Belediye 0–1 Ayvalikgucu
14. 46′SECOND HALF Nilüfer Belediye 0–1 Ayvalikgucu
15. 64′We said Nilüfer Belediye at 41%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
16. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Nilüfer Belediye win: 41% at kick-off, 1% now
17. 96′A goal for Nilüfer Belediye on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 1–98–1
18. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Nilüfer Belediye 1–1 Ayvalikgucu
19. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Ayvalikgucu win 99%)
20. FTFULL TIME Nilüfer Belediye 1–1 Ayvalikgucu
21. FTNilüfer Belediye 1–1 Ayvalikgucu · Nilüfer Belediye win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.