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Karsiyaka v Söke 1970
Karsiyaka
Söke 19703. Lig - Group 2 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Karsiyaka win at 49%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Karsiyaka 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–28–23
- 1′KICK-OFF Karsiyaka v Söke 1970
- 24′Karsiyaka find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 24′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Karsiyaka 1–0 Söke 1970
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
- 41′A goal for Karsiyaka on 40′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 41′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Karsiyaka 2–0 Söke 1970
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 94% now
- 42′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 45′HALF-TIME Karsiyaka 2–0 Söke 1970
- 46′SECOND HALF Karsiyaka 2–0 Söke 1970
- 55′Söke 1970 score on 54′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 55′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 55′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 80–16–4
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Karsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 80% now
- 69′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
- 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
- FTFULL TIME Karsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970
- FTKarsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970 · Karsiyaka win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Karsiyaka are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Karsiyaka 49%, draw 27%, Söke 1970 23%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Karsiyaka win49%
Söke 1970 win23%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00
Round3. Lig Group 2 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
KarsiyakaMIN
Söke 1970Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Karsiyaka
Söke 1970
Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2
Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Karsiyaka a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 47%, 49% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka win | 49% | 50% | −1 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2 |
| Söke 1970 win | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 54% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 56% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 33% | −5 |
| Karsiyaka or draw | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Karsiyaka clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
| Söke 1970 clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022/23Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept
KARSIYAKA
SÖKE 1970
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nilüfer Belediye | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 2 | Etimesgut SK | 8 | +8 | 17 |
| 3 | Anadolu Üniversitesi | 8 | +7 | 15 |
| 4 | Ayvalikgucu | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Bursa Yıldırımspor | 7 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Eskişehirspor | 7 | +13 | 14 |
| 7 | Bigaspor | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Balıkesirspor | 7 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 | Karsiyaka | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Gaziemirspor | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 11 | Altay | 7 | −2 | 9 |
| 12 | Söke 1970 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 13 | Uşak Spor | 7 | −2 | 6 |
| 14 | Bucaspor 1928 | 8 | −6 | 6 |
| 15 | Denizli İYG | 8 | −8 | 6 |
| 16 | Alanya 1221 FK | 7 | −12 | 4 |
| 17 | Akşehirspor | 8 | −15 | 3 |
| 18 | Kepezspor | 7 | −9 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Nilüfer Belediye
Etimesgut SK
Anadolu Üniversitesi
Ayvalikgucu
Bursa Yıldırımspor
Eskişehirspor
Bigaspor
Balıkesirspor
Gaziemirspor
Altay
Uşak Spor
Bucaspor 1928
Denizli İYG
Alanya 1221 FK
Akşehirspor
Kepezspor