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Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 2 › Karsiyaka v Söke 1970

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Karsiyaka v Söke 1970

Karsiyaka
2–1Full time
Söke 1970

3. Lig - Group 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 19:48
Karsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970 KARSIYAKA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Karsiyaka win49%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.388
The market’s Brier score0.370

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Karsiyaka win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Karsiyaka 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–28–23
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Karsiyaka v Söke 1970
  4. 24′Karsiyaka find the net on 24′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
  5. 24′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–16–7
  6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Karsiyaka 1–0 Söke 1970
  7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
  8. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 77–16–7
  9. 41′A goal for Karsiyaka on 40′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  10. 41′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
  11. 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Karsiyaka 2–0 Söke 1970
  12. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 94% now
  13. 42′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Karsiyaka 2–0 Söke 1970
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Karsiyaka 2–0 Söke 1970
  16. 55′Söke 1970 score on 54′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  17. 55′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  18. 55′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 80–16–4
  19. 55′⚽ GOAL · 54' Karsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970
  20. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 80% now
  21. 69′We said Karsiyaka at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  22. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
  23. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Karsiyaka win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
  24. FTFULL TIME Karsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970
  25. FTKarsiyaka 2–1 Söke 1970 · Karsiyaka win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Karsiyaka are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Karsiyaka 49%, draw 27%, Söke 1970 23%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Karsiyaka v Söke 1970Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Karsiyaka win49%
Draw27%
Söke 1970 win23%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:00

Round3. Lig Group 2 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Karsiyaka

Söke 1970

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
9Karsiyaka709
12Söke 1970707

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karsiyaka winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
49% The market50%
Us49%
Market50%

We make Karsiyaka a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Karsiyaka v Söke 19701.63 – 1.03
Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 SeptW2 D3 L1 · W1 D4 L1
Table places · points 9 v 79 v 12
The market · Karsiyaka win50% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 16:13
Our probability · Karsiyaka win The market, margin stripped

Published at 47%, 49% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Karsiyaka win49%50%−1
Draw27%25%+2
Söke 1970 win23%24%−1
Over 2.5 goals49%54%−5
Both teams to score51%56%−5
Over 1.5 goals75%76%−1
Over 3.5 goals28%33%−5
Karsiyaka or draw77%76%+1
Karsiyaka clean sheet37%––
Söke 1970 clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%
0123450 9.3 6.1 3.9 1 10.1 12.7 5.8 2.1 2 9.0 8.8 4.5 3 4.9 4.8 2.5 4 2.2 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Karsiyaka down, Söke 1970 across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting4.25
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored1 of 4
Last meetingsKAR 5–0 SOK · SOK 0–1 KAR · KAR 6–0 SOK · SOK 2–3 KAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept

KARSIYAKA

DDLWWD1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

SÖKE 1970

WDDDLD2–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 3–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nilüfer Belediye8+918
2Etimesgut SK8+817
3Anadolu Üniversitesi8+715
4Ayvalikgucu8+515
5Bursa Yıldırımspor7+515
6Eskişehirspor7+1314
7Bigaspor8+414
8Balıkesirspor7+413
9Karsiyaka709
10Gaziemirspor7−19
11Altay7−29
12Söke 1970707
13Uşak Spor7−26
14Bucaspor 19288−66
15Denizli İYG8−86
16Alanya 1221 FK7−124
17Akşehirspor8−153
18Kepezspor7−92

The competition's standings before kick-off.