Karsiyaka v Anadolu Üniversitesi prediction · 3. Lig

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Karsiyaka 1–0 Anadolu Üniversitesi KARSIYAKA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Karsiyaka win~~37%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.592

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Karsiyaka win at 37%.
2′Much as we predicted: Karsiyaka was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–35
3′Much as we predicted: Karsiyaka was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–35
70′52′ and it is 1–0: E. Akgun on the scoresheet for Karsiyaka. 1–0 · 81–16–2
86′52′ and it is 1–0: E. Akgun on the scoresheet for Karsiyaka. 1–0 · 95–5–0
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 95% now
86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 81% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 95% now
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 81% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 95% now
88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 81% now
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 81% now
89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 95% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 95% now
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Karsiyaka win: 37% at kick-off, 81% now
FTFULL TIME Karsiyaka 1–0 Anadolu Üniversitesi
FTKarsiyaka 1–0 Anadolu Üniversitesi · Karsiyaka win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Karsiyaka win37%

Draw29%

Anadolu Üniversitesi win33%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 17:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Karsiyaka

Anadolu Üniversitesi

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Anadolu Üniversitesi	5	+7	11
13	Karsiyaka	5	−1	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karsiyaka winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Karsiyaka a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karsiyaka win	37%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Anadolu Üniversitesi win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Karsiyaka or draw	67%	–	–
Karsiyaka clean sheet	30%	–	–
Anadolu Üniversitesi clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 10.2 8.1 5.9 2.6 1 8.8 13.4 7.2 3.1 2 6.8 7.8 4.7 2.0 3 3.1 3.5 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karsiyaka down, Anadolu Üniversitesi across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,325 3. Lig - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.1% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Karsiyaka at home: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Anadolu Üniversitesi away: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Karsiyaka, 1.25 for Anadolu Üniversitesi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KAR 1–0 ANA · ANA 3–2 KAR

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2

KARSIYAKA

DLDDLW1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

ANADOLU ÜNIVERSITESI

WWDWDW1–0 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nilüfer Belediye	5	+8	13
2	Etimesgut SK	5	+6	12
3	Anadolu Üniversitesi	5	+7	11
4	Bursa Yıldırımspor	5	+4	11
5	Eskişehirspor	5	+10	10
6	Ayvalikgucu	5	+4	10
7	Balıkesirspor	5	+2	9
8	Bigaspor	5	+3	8
9	Söke 1970	5	+1	6
10	Altay	5	0	6
11	Gaziemirspor	5	−1	6
12	Uşak Spor	5	−1	5
13	Karsiyaka	5	−1	5
14	Bucaspor 1928	5	−6	3
15	Akşehirspor	5	−9	3
16	Kepezspor	5	−6	2
17	Denizli İYG	5	−9	2
18	Alanya 1221 FK	5	−12	1