Etimesgut SK v Balıkesirspor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Etimesgut SK win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Etimesgut SK was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–27–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Etimesgut SK v Balıkesirspor
4. 20′A goal for Etimesgut SK on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–18–12
5. 20′We published Etimesgut SK at 43%. Our model now makes it 71%. 1–0 · 71–18–12
6. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Etimesgut SK 1–0 Balıkesirspor
7. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 71% now
8. 24′Etimesgut SK score on 24′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 89–8–3
9. 24′We published Etimesgut SK at 43%. Our model now makes it 89%. 2–0 · 89–8–3
10. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Etimesgut SK 2–0 Balıkesirspor
11. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 89% now
12. 25′GOAL DISALLOWED · 25' Etimesgut SK
13. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 71% now
14. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–0 · 71–19–10
15. 32′Balıkesirspor score on 31′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 38–33–28
16. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' Etimesgut SK 1–1 Balıkesirspor
17. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 38% now
18. 33′Etimesgut SK ahead on 33′ through G. Tutcuoglu. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–19–10
19. 33′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 72–19–10
20. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Etimesgut SK 2–1 Balıkesirspor · G. Tutcuoglu
21. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
22. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
23. 45′HALF-TIME Etimesgut SK 2–1 Balıkesirspor
24. 46′SECOND HALF Etimesgut SK 2–1 Balıkesirspor
25. 49′A goal for Balıkesirspor on 49′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 34–40–26
26. 49′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 34–40–26
27. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Etimesgut SK 2–2 Balıkesirspor
28. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 34% now
29. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Etimesgut SK win 34%)
30. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
31. 56′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 2–2 · 31–45–24
32. 60′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–48–23
33. 69′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–57–19
34. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
35. 75′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–66–15
36. 78′A red card for Balıkesirspor on 78′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–2 · 16–71–13
37. 78′🟥 RED CARD · 78' Balıkesirspor
38. 80′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–74–11
39. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
40. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 78' F. Ozler · Balıkesirspor
41. 84′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–83–7
42. 91′We said Etimesgut SK at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–3
43. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Etimesgut SK win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
44. FTFULL TIME Etimesgut SK 2–2 Balıkesirspor
45. FTEtimesgut SK 2–2 Balıkesirspor · Etimesgut SK win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.