Eskişehirspor v Bursa Yıldırımspor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Eskişehirspor win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Eskişehirspor was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–26–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Eskişehirspor v Bursa Yıldırımspor
4. 20′Bursa Yıldırımspor score on 19′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 24–25–51
5. 20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Eskişehirspor 0–1 Bursa Yıldırımspor
6. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Eskişehirspor win: 53% at kick-off, 24% now
7. 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Bursa Yıldırımspor win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Eskişehirspor win 49%)
8. 21′We said Eskişehirspor at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–25–51
9. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Eskişehirspor win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 21–26–53
11. 34′We said Eskişehirspor at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–26–55
12. 45′HALF-TIME Eskişehirspor 0–1 Bursa Yıldırımspor
13. 46′SECOND HALF Eskişehirspor 0–1 Bursa Yıldırımspor
14. 47′We said Eskişehirspor at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–26–59
15. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+4' Eskişehirspor win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
16. 59′We said Eskişehirspor at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–65
17. 71′We said Eskişehirspor at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–74
18. 74′PENALTY MISSED · 74' Eskişehirspor
19. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Eskişehirspor win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
20. 84′Eskişehirspor find the net on 84′. 1–1. 1–1 · 10–84–6
21. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Eskişehirspor 1–1 Bursa Yıldırımspor
22. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Eskişehirspor win: 53% at kick-off, 10% now
23. 84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Draw is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Bursa Yıldırımspor win 90%)
24. 89′A goal for Bursa Yıldırımspor on 88′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–6–94
25. 89′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–6–94
26. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Eskişehirspor 1–2 Bursa Yıldırımspor
27. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Eskişehirspor win: 53% at kick-off, under 1% now
28. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Bursa Yıldırımspor win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 89%)
29. 92′Eskişehirspor score on 90′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 4–94–2
30. 92′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 4–94–2
31. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Eskişehirspor 2–2 Bursa Yıldırımspor
32. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Bursa Yıldırımspor win 95%)
33. FTFULL TIME Eskişehirspor 2–2 Bursa Yıldırımspor
34. FTEskişehirspor 2–2 Bursa Yıldırımspor · Eskişehirspor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.