Denizli İYG v Bigaspor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bigaspor win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bigaspor 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 29–28–43
3. 1′KICK-OFF Denizli İYG v Bigaspor
4. 4′A goal for Denizli İYG on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 57–21–22
5. 4′⚽ GOAL · 4' Denizli İYG 1–0 Bigaspor
6. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Bigaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Denizli İYG win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Bigaspor win 43%)
8. 5′We said Bigaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 57–21–22
9. 15′We said Bigaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–22–19
10. 22′Denizli İYG score on 22′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 82–12–6
11. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Denizli İYG 2–0 Bigaspor
12. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Bigaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 6% now
13. 23′We said Bigaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–0 · 83–12–6
14. 32′We said Bigaspor at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
15. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Bigaspor win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
16. 45′HALF-TIME Denizli İYG 2–0 Bigaspor
17. 46′SECOND HALF Denizli İYG 2–0 Bigaspor
18. 53′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 2–0 · 91–7–2
19. FTFULL TIME Denizli İYG 2–0 Bigaspor
20. FTDenizli İYG 2–0 Bigaspor · Bigaspor win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.