Add to your Home ScreenGet the appFree · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1

Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 2 › Denizli İYG v Ayvalikgucu

Back
Turkey flag

Denizli İYG v Ayvalikgucu

Denizli İYG
0–1Full time
Ayvalikgucu

3. Lig - Group 2 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04
Denizli İYG 0–1 Ayvalikgucu AYVALIKGUCU WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ayvalikgucu win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.454

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 7 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ayvalikgucu win at 45%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Denizli İYG v Ayvalikgucu
  3. 3′Much as we predicted: Ayvalikgucu was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 28–26–47
  4. 5′Much as we predicted: Ayvalikgucu was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 27–26–46
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Denizli İYG 0–0 Ayvalikgucu
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Denizli İYG 0–0 Ayvalikgucu
  7. 78′🟥 RED CARD · 77' Denizli İYG
  8. 80′🟥 RED CARD · 77' Denizli İYG
  9. 90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Denizli İYG 0–1 Ayvalikgucu
  10. FTFULL TIME Denizli İYG 0–1 Ayvalikgucu
  11. FTDenizli İYG 0–1 Ayvalikgucu · Ayvalikgucu win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Denizli İYG win27%
Draw28%
Ayvalikgucu win45%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Denizli İYG

Ayvalikgucu

8Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Ayvalikgucu5+410
17Denizli İYG5−92

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ayvalikgucu winPublished 11 Oct 13:43
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Ayvalikgucu a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Denizli İYG win27%––
Draw28%––
Ayvalikgucu win45%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Denizli İYG or draw55%––
Denizli İYG clean sheet23%––
Ayvalikgucu clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%
0123450 9.4 9.5 8.2 4.3 1 6.6 13.1 8.6 4.4 2 4.5 6.4 4.8 2.4 3 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Denizli İYG down, Ayvalikgucu across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2

DENIZLI İYG

DLLDL1–1 · 0–2 · 0–5 · 0–0 · 0–2

AYVALIKGUCU

LWWLWD0–1 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nilüfer Belediye5+813
2Etimesgut SK5+612
3Anadolu Üniversitesi5+711
4Bursa Yıldırımspor5+411
5Eskişehirspor5+1010
6Ayvalikgucu5+410
7Balıkesirspor5+29
8Bigaspor5+38
9Söke 19705+16
10Altay506
11Gaziemirspor5−16
12Uşak Spor5−15
13Karsiyaka5−15
14Bucaspor 19285−63
15Akşehirspor5−93
16Kepezspor5−62
17Denizli İYG5−92
18Alanya 1221 FK5−121

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.