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Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 2 › Bucaspor 1928 v Anadolu Üniversitesi

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Bucaspor 1928 v Anadolu Üniversitesi

Bucaspor 1928
0–1Full time
Anadolu Üniversitesi

3. Lig - Group 2 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Bucaspor 1928 0–1 Anadolu Üniversitesi ANADOLU ÜNIVERSITESI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Anadolu Üniversitesi win39%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.558

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Anadolu Üniversitesi win at 39%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Anadolu Üniversitesi 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 32–29–39
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Bucaspor 1928 v Anadolu Üniversitesi
  4. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Anadolu Üniversitesi win 36%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Bucaspor 1928 0–0 Anadolu Üniversitesi
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Bucaspor 1928 0–0 Anadolu Üniversitesi
  7. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
  8. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 24–47–28
  9. 58′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 23–50–27
  10. 64′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 21–55–24
  11. 70′Anadolu Üniversitesi score on 69′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 2–15–82
  12. 70′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 0–1 · 2–15–82
  13. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Bucaspor 1928 0–1 Anadolu Üniversitesi
  14. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 39% at kick-off, 82% now
  15. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Anadolu Üniversitesi win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 60%)
  16. 74′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
  17. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
  18. 81′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  19. 87′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  20. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
  21. FTFULL TIME Bucaspor 1928 0–1 Anadolu Üniversitesi
  22. FTBucaspor 1928 0–1 Anadolu Üniversitesi · Anadolu Üniversitesi win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anadolu Üniversitesi are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bucaspor 1928 32%, draw 29%, Anadolu Üniversitesi 39%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Bucaspor 1928 v Anadolu ÜniversitesiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bucaspor 1928 win32%
Draw29%
Anadolu Üniversitesi win39%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

Round3. Lig Group 2 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bucaspor 1928

Anadolu Üniversitesi

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Anadolu Üniversitesi7+612
14Bucaspor 19287−56

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anadolu üniversitesi winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
39% The market–
Us39%

We make Anadolu Üniversitesi a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Bucaspor 1928 v Anadolu Üniversitesi1.20 – 1.36
Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 SeptW2 D0 L4 · W2 D3 L1
Table places · points 6 v 1214 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:24
Our probability · Anadolu Üniversitesi win

Published at 42%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Bucaspor 1928 win32%––
Draw29%––
Anadolu Üniversitesi win39%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score52%––
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
Bucaspor 1928 or draw61%––
Bucaspor 1928 clean sheet27%––
Anadolu Üniversitesi clean sheet31%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.6%
0123450 9.9 9.1 7.1 3.3 1 7.9 13.6 8.1 3.8 2 5.6 7.2 4.8 2.2 3 2.3 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Bucaspor 1928 down, Anadolu Üniversitesi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023/24
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsANA 1–2 BUC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 12 Sept

BUCASPOR 1928

WLLLLW2–1 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 3–1

ANADOLU ÜNIVERSITESI

DWDWLD2–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nilüfer Belediye7+917
2Bursa Yıldırımspor7+515
3Eskişehirspor7+1314
4Bigaspor7+614
5Etimesgut SK7+614
6Ayvalikgucu7+514
7Balıkesirspor7+413
8Anadolu Üniversitesi7+612
9Karsiyaka709
10Gaziemirspor7−19
11Altay7−29
12Söke 1970707
13Uşak Spor7−26
14Bucaspor 19287−56
15Alanya 1221 FK7−124
16Denizli İYG7−103
17Akşehirspor7−133
18Kepezspor7−92

The competition's standings before kick-off.