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Model 1.2

Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 2 › Anadolu Üniversitesi v Nilüfer Belediye

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Anadolu Üniversitesi v Nilüfer Belediye

Anadolu Üniversitesi
1–1Full time
Nilüfer Belediye

3. Lig - Group 2 · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 15:23
Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye ANADOLU ÜNIVERSITESI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Anadolu Üniversitesi win42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.735

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay15 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Anadolu Üniversitesi win at 42%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Anadolu Üniversitesi 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–31–28
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Anadolu Üniversitesi v Nilüfer Belediye
  4. 37′THE CALL SWINGS · 37' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Anadolu Üniversitesi win 35%)
  5. 41′Nilüfer Belediye are down to ten from 40′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 34–41–24
  6. 41′🟥 RED CARD · 40' Nilüfer Belediye
  7. 43′Anadolu Üniversitesi find the net on 42′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–18–6
  8. 43′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–18–6
  9. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–0 Nilüfer Belediye
  10. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 42% at kick-off, 76% now
  11. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Anadolu Üniversitesi win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 18%)
  12. 44′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 1–0 · 76–18–6
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–0 Nilüfer Belediye
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–0 Nilüfer Belediye
  15. 58′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
  16. 59′A goal for Nilüfer Belediye on 59′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–53–20
  17. 59′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–53–20
  18. 59′M. Kucukdurmus scores for Nilüfer Belediye on 55′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 27–53–20
  19. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye
  20. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 42% at kick-off, 27% now
  21. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Anadolu Üniversitesi win 27%)
  22. 64′Anadolu Üniversitesi have ten men and Nilüfer Belediye ten after the red cards. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 25–57–18
  23. 64′🟥 RED CARD · 63' Anadolu Üniversitesi
  24. 65′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
  25. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
  26. 72′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–14
  27. 78′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
  28. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
  29. 83′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
  30. 90′We said Anadolu Üniversitesi at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  31. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Anadolu Üniversitesi win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
  32. FTFULL TIME Anadolu Üniversitesi 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye
  33. FTAnadolu Üniversitesi 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye · Anadolu Üniversitesi win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anadolu Üniversitesi are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Anadolu Üniversitesi 42%, draw 30%, Nilüfer Belediye 28%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Anadolu Üniversitesi v Nilüfer BelediyeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Anadolu Üniversitesi win42%
Draw30%
Nilüfer Belediye win28%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 12:30

Round3. Lig Group 2 · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anadolu Üniversitesi

Nilüfer Belediye

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

Last match: 11 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nilüfer Belediye6+916
7Anadolu Üniversitesi6+611

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anadolu üniversitesi winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
42% The market–
Us42%

We make Anadolu Üniversitesi a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Anadolu Üniversitesi v Nilüfer Belediye1.31 – 1.01
Form · 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 6 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 11 v 167 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Anadolu Üniversitesi win42%––
Draw30%––
Nilüfer Belediye win28%––
Over 2.5 goals41%––
Both teams to score46%––
Over 1.5 goals68%––
Over 3.5 goals21%––
Anadolu Üniversitesi or draw72%––
Anadolu Üniversitesi clean sheet37%––
Nilüfer Belediye clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.8%
0123450 12.0 8.7 5.1 1 11.5 13.8 6.3 2.2 2 8.3 8.0 4.0 3 3.8 3.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Anadolu Üniversitesi down, Nilüfer Belediye across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · 3. Lig - Group 2 this season · since 6 Sept

ANADOLU ÜNIVERSITESI

WDWDWL2–0 · 2–2 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–1

NILÜFER BELEDIYE

WWWDWW4–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Nilüfer Belediye6+916
2Eskişehirspor7+1314
3Bursa Yıldırımspor6+514
4Etimesgut SK6+613
5Ayvalikgucu6+513
6Balıkesirspor6+412
7Anadolu Üniversitesi6+611
8Bigaspor6+411
9Gaziemirspor609
10Altay7−29
11Karsiyaka608
12Söke 1970606
13Uşak Spor6−25
14Bucaspor 19286−73
15Akşehirspor6−113
16Kepezspor6−72
17Denizli İYG6−102
18Alanya 1221 FK6−131

The competition's standings before kick-off.