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Tokat Bld Plevnespor v Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

1–5Full time

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

3. Lig - Group 1 · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–5 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor KÜÇÜKÇEKMECE SINOPSPOR WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.553

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win at 39%.
1′Much as we predicted: Küçükçekmece Sinopspor was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 32–29–39
1′KICK-OFF Tokat Bld Plevnespor v Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 36%)
45′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 68–22–9
45′HALF-TIME Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–0 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
46′SECOND HALF Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–0 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
47′A goal for Tokat Bld Plevnespor on 45′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 69–22–9
47′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–0 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Tokat Bld Plevnespor win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 43%)
55′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor score on 55′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–48–28
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–1 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 39% at kick-off, 28% now
55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Tokat Bld Plevnespor win 72%)
56′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor find the net on 56′. 1–2. 1–2 · 5–19–76
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–2 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 39% at kick-off, 76% now
56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 48%)
57′We published Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 39%. Our model now makes it 76%. 1–2 · 5–19–76
57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–19–76
58′A goal for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor on 57′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
58′We published Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 39%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–3 · 1–4–95
58′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 1–4–95
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–3 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 39% at kick-off, 95% now
71′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor score on 70′ to make it 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
71′We published Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 39%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 1–4 · 0–0–100
71′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–4 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 39% at kick-off, over 99% now
91′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor find the net on 90′. 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
91′6 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–5 · 0–0–100
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–5 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
94′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor ahead on 88′ through A. Gokbayrak. 1–5. 1–5 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1–5 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
FTTokat Bld Plevnespor 1–5 Küçükçekmece Sinopspor · Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tokat Bld Plevnespor 32%, draw 28%, Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 39%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Tokat Bld Plevnespor v Küçükçekmece SinopsporBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win32%

Draw28%

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win39%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

Round3. Lig Group 1 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	7	−2	11
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	7	0	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · küçükçekmece sinopspor winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Küçükçekmece Sinopspor a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tokat Bld Plevnespor v Küçükçekmece Sinopspor~~1.18 – 1.33

~~Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 11~~10 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tokat Bld Plevnespor win	32%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Tokat Bld Plevnespor or draw	61%	–	–
Tokat Bld Plevnespor clean sheet	27%	–	–
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.6 10.1 7.2 3.3 1 8.9 13.1 8.0 3.6 2 5.7 7.2 4.7 2.1 3 2.3 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tokat Bld Plevnespor down, Küçükçekmece Sinopspor across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,364 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.9% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Tokat Bld Plevnespor at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Küçükçekmece Sinopspor away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.18 goals for Tokat Bld Plevnespor, 1.33 for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept

TOKAT BLD PLEVNESPOR

DDLWLL1–1 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 0–1

KÜÇÜKÇEKMECE SINOPSPOR

DWDLLW1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–4 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	7	+10	17
2	Pazarspor	7	+8	16
3	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	7	+3	13
4	Karabük İdman Yurdu	7	+2	13
5	Kartal Bulvarspor	7	+6	12
6	Amasyaspor 1968	7	+2	12
7	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	7	−2	11
8	Galata	7	+3	10
9	Orduspor 1967	7	0	9
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	7	0	8
11	Zonguldak Kömürspor	7	−2	8
12	İnkılapspor	7	−4	8
13	Düzcespor	7	−1	7
14	Beykoz Anadolu	7	−1	6
15	Gölcükspor	7	−2	6
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	7	−7	6
17	Silivrispor	7	−6	4
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	7	−9	1