Home › Football › 3. Lig - Group 1 › Küçükçekmece Sinopspor v Karabük İdman Yurdu

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor v Karabük İdman Yurdu

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

0–4Full time

Karabük İdman Yurdu

3. Lig - Group 1 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu KÜÇÜKÇEKMECE SINOPSPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win~~63%

~~The market said~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.161

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.911

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win at 63%.
3′Little has changed for our model: Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 63% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–20–15
5′Little has changed for our model: Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 63% before kick-off, 65% now. 0–0 · 65–21–15
45′Karabük İdman Yurdu ahead on 45′ through H. Turkyilmaz. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–30–49
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Karabük İdman Yurdu win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 21%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 63% at kick-off, 21% now
46′SECOND HALF Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–1 Karabük İdman Yurdu
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 63% at kick-off, 21% now
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Karabük İdman Yurdu win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 21%)
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 63% at kick-off, 21% now
47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Karabük İdman Yurdu win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 21%)
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 63% at kick-off, 21% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Karabük İdman Yurdu win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 21%)
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 63% at kick-off, 21% now
49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Karabük İdman Yurdu win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 21%)
54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–2 Karabük İdman Yurdu
56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–3 Karabük İdman Yurdu
74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu
80′⚽ GOAL · 45' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu · H. Turkyilmaz
80′⚽ GOAL · 54' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu · H. Turkyilmaz
80′⚽ GOAL · 56' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu · C. Aydin
80′⚽ GOAL · 74' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu · H. Turkyilmaz
FTFULL TIME Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu
FTKüçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–4 Karabük İdman Yurdu · Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win63%

Draw21%

Karabük İdman Yurdu win15%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor

Karabük İdman Yurdu

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · küçükçekmece sinopspor winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

63% The market50%

Us63%

~~Market~~50%

We make Küçükçekmece Sinopspor a 63% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · küçükçekmece sinopspor win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win	63%	50%	+13
Draw	21%	26%	−5
Karabük İdman Yurdu win	15%	23%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	56%	46%	+11
Both teams to score	50%	49%	+1
Over 1.5 goals	79%	70%	+9
Over 3.5 goals	35%	25%	+10
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor or draw	85%	77%	+8
Küçükçekmece Sinopspor clean sheet	42%	–	–
Karabük İdman Yurdu clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.6%

0123450 6.5 4.3 2.3 1 10.2 9.9 4.2 2 10.6 9.0 4.0 3 7.3 6.1 2.7 4 4.1 3.3 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Küçükçekmece Sinopspor down, Karabük İdman Yurdu across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Karabük İdman Yurdu away: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor, 0.88 for Karabük İdman Yurdu. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KAR 0–3 KUC · KUC 1–2 KAR

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1

KÜÇÜKÇEKMECE SINOPSPOR

LWDWDL0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–3

KARABÜK İDMAN YURDU

DLWDWL1–1 · 1–5 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
3	Pazarspor	5	+6	10
4	Galata	5	+4	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	+2	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	+1	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	−2	4
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	−4	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1