Küçükçekmece Sinopspor v Düzcespor

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win at 44%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 44% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–28–28
3. 1′KICK-OFF Küçükçekmece Sinopspor v Düzcespor
4. 5′Düzcespor find the net on 5′. 0–1. 0–1 · 21–22–57
5. 5′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–22–57
6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 0–1 Düzcespor
7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 44% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Düzcespor win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win 21%)
9. 13′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–58
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 15–24–61
11. 33′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
12. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 44% at kick-off, 14% now
13. 38′A goal for Küçükçekmece Sinopspor on 38′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 37–38–25
14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 1–1 Düzcespor
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 44% at kick-off, 37% now
16. 42′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor score on 42′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 75–18–6
17. 42′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–18–6
18. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 2–1 Düzcespor
19. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 44% at kick-off, 75% now
20. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win is now our likeliest result at 75% (was Düzcespor win 6%)
21. 43′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 76–18–6
22. 45′HALF-TIME Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 2–1 Düzcespor
23. 46′SECOND HALF Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 2–1 Düzcespor
24. 60′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
25. 68′Küçükçekmece Sinopspor are down to ten from 68′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 2–1 · 83–15–2
26. 68′🟥 RED CARD · 68' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
27. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 44% at kick-off, 84% now
28. 72′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
29. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 68' E. Oymak · Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
30. 79′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
31. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: 44% at kick-off, 94% now
32. 86′We said Küçükçekmece Sinopspor at 44% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
33. FTFULL TIME Küçükçekmece Sinopspor 2–1 Düzcespor
34. FTKüçükçekmece Sinopspor 2–1 Düzcespor · Küçükçekmece Sinopspor win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.