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Kartal Bulvarspor v Orduspor 1967

Kartal Bulvarspor

2–2Full time

Orduspor 1967

3. Lig - Group 1 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04

Kartal Bulvarspor 2–2 Orduspor 1967 KARTAL BULVARSPOR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kartal Bulvarspor win~~38%

~~The market said~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.834

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.789

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kartal Bulvarspor win at 38%.
1′Much as we predicted: Kartal Bulvarspor was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–24–37
1′KICK-OFF Kartal Bulvarspor v Orduspor 1967
4′Much as we predicted: Kartal Bulvarspor was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–37
8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Kartal Bulvarspor 1–0 Orduspor 1967
22′H. Kaya scores for Kartal Bulvarspor on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 38% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 38% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
24′H. Kaya scores for Kartal Bulvarspor on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 38% now
43′We published Kartal Bulvarspor at 38%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–22–10
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
44′We published Kartal Bulvarspor at 38%. Our model now makes it 68%. 1–0 · 68–22–10
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
45′HALF-TIME Kartal Bulvarspor 1–0 Orduspor 1967
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Kartal Bulvarspor win: 38% at kick-off, 68% now
46′SECOND HALF Kartal Bulvarspor 1–0 Orduspor 1967
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Kartal Bulvarspor 2–0 Orduspor 1967
79′⚽ GOAL · 8' Kartal Bulvarspor 2–0 Orduspor 1967 · H. Kaya (assist D. Cebeci)
79′⚽ GOAL · 60' Kartal Bulvarspor 2–0 Orduspor 1967 · H. Kaya
86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Kartal Bulvarspor 2–1 Orduspor 1967
90′⚽ GOAL · 95' Kartal Bulvarspor 2–2 Orduspor 1967
FTFULL TIME Kartal Bulvarspor 2–2 Orduspor 1967
FTKartal Bulvarspor 2–2 Orduspor 1967 · Kartal Bulvarspor win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Kartal Bulvarspor win38%

Draw25%

Orduspor 1967 win37%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Kartal Bulvarspor

Orduspor 1967

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kartal bulvarspor winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

38% The market39%

Us38%

~~Market~~39%

We make Kartal Bulvarspor a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · kartal bulvarspor win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kartal Bulvarspor win	38%	39%	−1
Draw	25%	28%	−2
Orduspor 1967 win	37%	34%	+3
Over 2.5 goals	57%	47%	+10
Both teams to score	60%	53%	+7
Over 1.5 goals	80%	71%	+9
Over 3.5 goals	36%	27%	+9
Kartal Bulvarspor or draw	63%	66%	−3
Kartal Bulvarspor clean sheet	23%	–	–
Orduspor 1967 clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.2 6.8 5.6 2.8 1 6.9 11.6 7.9 4.0 2 5.7 8.0 5.9 3.0 3 2.9 4.1 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kartal Bulvarspor down, Orduspor 1967 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,346 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Kartal Bulvarspor at home: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Orduspor 1967 away: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Kartal Bulvarspor, 1.50 for Orduspor 1967. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1

KARTAL BULVARSPOR

LWLDWW0–1 · 5–1 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 4–2

ORDUSPOR 1967

DDWWL2–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	5	+8	11
2	Kartal Bulvarspor	5	+6	10
3	Pazarspor	5	+6	10
4	Galata	5	+4	9
5	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	5	+2	9
6	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	5	+2	8
7	Orduspor 1967	5	+1	8
8	Amasyaspor 1968	5	+1	8
9	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	5	+1	8
10	Düzcespor	5	+1	7
11	Karabük İdman Yurdu	5	−3	7
12	Beykoz Anadolu	5	0	5
13	Gölcükspor	5	−2	4
14	Silivrispor	5	−4	4
15	İnkılapspor	5	−5	4
16	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	5	−7	4
17	Zonguldak Kömürspor	5	−4	2
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	5	−7	1