Kartal Bulvarspor v Galata prediction · 3. Lig

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kartal BulvarsporDrawGalata

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Galata 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Galata just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Kartal Bulvarspor 36%, draw 27%, Galata 37%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Kartal Bulvarspor v GalataBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Kartal Bulvarspor win36%

Draw27%

Galata win37%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

Round3. Lig Group 1 · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kartal Bulvarspor

Galata

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 1

Last match: 17 Oct · 3. Lig - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Kartal Bulvarspor	7	+6	12
9	Galata	7	+3	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · galata winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Galata a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kartal Bulvarspor v Galata~~1.38 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 10~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kartal Bulvarspor win	36%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Galata win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Kartal Bulvarspor or draw	63%	–	–
Kartal Bulvarspor clean sheet	26%	–	–
Galata clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.6%

0123450 7.7 8.1 6.1 2.8 1 8.0 12.6 8.0 3.7 2 6.0 7.9 5.4 2.5 3 2.8 3.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kartal Bulvarspor down, Galata across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,371 3. Lig - Group 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 3. Lig - Group 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.7% of games this season, across 70 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kartal Bulvarspor at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Galata away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Kartal Bulvarspor, 1.38 for Galata. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~GAL 1–1 KAR · KAR 1–0 GAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 3. Lig - Group 1 this season · since 12 Sept

KARTAL BULVARSPOR

LDWWDD0–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 1–1

GALATA

DDWWDL1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Fatsa Belediyespor	7	+10	17
2	Pazarspor	8	+8	17
3	Küçükçekmece Sinopspor	8	+2	14
4	Karadeniz Ereğli BSK	8	+1	13
5	Karabük İdman Yurdu	8	−1	13
6	Kartal Bulvarspor	7	+6	12
7	Orduspor 1967	8	+3	12
8	Amasyaspor 1968	8	−1	12
9	Galata	7	+3	10
10	Düzcespor	8	+2	10
11	Beykoz Anadolu	8	+1	9
12	Zonguldak Kömürspor	8	−2	9
13	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	8	−4	8
14	İnkılapspor	7	−4	8
15	Gölcükspor	8	−2	7
16	Silivrispor	8	−4	7
17	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	8	−9	6
18	Beykoz İshaklıspor	8	−9	2